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Thread: *** Official NFL/ NCAA Betting Discussion Thread

  1. #901
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    Week 7-7 flat plays -.7 units 7-10 action point wagers +16.8 pts!

    Season Flat Plays 47-53 -11.25 units

    Season Action Points 48-33 +310.1 Points!

    Season Combined Record 95-88 51.91 %

    Plays up in a bit

  2. #902
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    Baylor -14 (action points)
    East Carolina -16 (ap)
    FSU -35 (ap)
    Marshall -23 (ap)
    Miami -6.5 -115
    Maryland -6.5
    Fresno -10
    Ole Miss -17 (ap)
    Utah +7 -115
    Ok St -31 (ap)
    Usc -17 (ap)
    A&M -19.5 (ap)
    Utah State -13
    Houston +10.5
    Ucla -1



    Tenn -13 (ap)
    Under 41 Tenn Jax
    Giants -7 -115 (ap)
    Indy -10 -105 (ap)
    Sea -6
    Sf -6
    Denver -7 even
    Denver -7 (ap)
    N.O. -6.5 -120

  3. #903
    Platinum ShadyJ's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by DRK Star View Post
    I honestly think that if Cutler and Rodgers were both playing, GB would win by 14

    If Cutler was in vs GB backup, GB would win by 3



    McCown handled things perfectly out there tonight. Who cares if he was 22/44 or whatever....he through the ball away when in danger. Cutler would have tossed a pick.
    You beat me to it. I was going to say Gb got screwed by an injury but it wasnt Rodgers it was Cutlers.

    Most people think GB has a bad Def but they dont. They actually had a very good defense this year even with all the injuries. That qb shredded them. Alot of Gbs defense is their offense so not having Rodgers hurts but that qb made big plays when needed and no mistakes. As a Packer fan I hope Cutler gets his job back because that Mccown or whatever his name is is for real.

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    Platinum ShadyJ's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by vegas1369 View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by ShadyJ View Post

    Next time burn your money it will be alot less painful
    That's why they play the game. Obv this outcome had a lot to do with Rodgers going out, but injuries are as much a part of this game as anything else.


    Gotta say McCown looked really good, and Forte is the man.
    Gb was depleted going into the game, but its pretty simple for Chicago to beat GB in GB Rodgers has to get hurt. Its like the Broncos if you can predict manning going down they could lose to anyone.

    Gb had over 200 rushing yards against 8-9 man boxes. I mean it doesnt take a genius to realize its a easy win with Rodgers.

  5. #905
    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
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    A couple monster college games tonight.

    Oregon vs. Stanford
    Baylor vs. Oklahoma

    I'm curious to see how the Sooners handle the Baylor offense who is #1 in the country averaging 63.9 points a game.

  6. #906
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker View Post
    A couple monster college games tonight.

    Oregon vs. Stanford
    Baylor vs. Oklahoma

    I'm curious to see how the Sooners handle the Baylor offense who is #1 in the country averaging 63.9 points a game.
    What's your thoughts on Oklahoma's D + run game? I was looking at the total and if it keeps going up was going to blindly put some on the Under.

    Similar spot to Oregon vs UCLA where the o/u was 75. These lines seem to get super inflated since they heavily beat up on inferior teams. When they play a team with actual defense + a run game the under seems like a +EV bet

  7. #907
    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    What's your thoughts on Oklahoma's D + run game? I was looking at the total and if it keeps going up was going to blindly put some on the Under.

    Similar spot to Oregon vs UCLA where the o/u was 75. These lines seem to get super inflated since they heavily beat up on inferior teams. When they play a team with actual defense + a run game the under seems like a +EV bet
    75 sounds so large but Oklahoma has given up over 30 to Texas Tech and Texas. Baylor has a better offense then either of them from what we've seen but they also haven't played anyone.

    Baylor and Oklahoma only have one similar opponent so far which was Kansas and it was much closer with Oklahoma beating them 35-19 then Baylor 59-14.

    I'm going to stay away from the total unless I tease it. This game could be a shootout for all I know like the game Baylor played against West Virginia who scored more points in that game in defeat then any game they won this year.

    With so much action on the over it could be worth a shot on the under but I'd wait close to game time because that line could be inflated more.

  8. #908
    Platinum ShadyJ's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker View Post
    A couple monster college games tonight.

    Oregon vs. Stanford
    Baylor vs. Oklahoma

    I'm curious to see how the Sooners handle the Baylor offense who is #1 in the country averaging 63.9 points a game.
    I dont think Oregon is a top 5 team. They gave up 550 yards passing a few Weeks ago. Stanford Moneyline tonight.

  9. #909
    Serial Blogger BeerAndPoker's Avatar
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    I'm thinking of just 13 point teasing both games tonight like this:

    Oklahoma +16 (-105) +29
    Over 74 (-105) Oklahoma vs. Baylor 61
    Stanford +11 (-115) +24
    Over 62 (-105) Oregon vs. Stanford 49

  10. #910
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    Busted the poker account a few weeks ago and put my scraps on some parlays tonight... The 6 team payout seems insane.. Is this correct for such a small bet....



    6 Team Parlay #316984909

    Football - NFL Lines (Game) Point Spread

    NFL WEEK 10

    (107) Washington Redskins -3 (+115) Nov 07/13@08:25p

    Competitor: (108) Minnesota Vikings

    Football - NFL Lines (Game) Total

    NFL WEEK 10

    (107) Washington Redskins vs. (108) Minnesota Vikings

    Under 49 Nov 07/13@08:25p

    Football - College Lines (Game) Point Spread

    (113) Oregon -10½ (-105) Nov 07/13@09:00p

    Competitor: (114) Stanford

    Football - College Lines (Game) Total

    (113) Oregon vs. (114) Stanford

    Under 62 (-115) Nov 07/13@09:00p

    Football - College Lines (Game) Point Spread

    (109) Oklahoma +16 Nov 07/13@07:30p

    Competitor: (110) Baylor

    Football - College Lines (Game) Total

    (109) Oklahoma vs. (110) Baylor

    Under 74 Nov 07/13@07:30p
    Web US$ 13.98 US$ 749.38
    Nov 06, 2013 03:57:49 PM
    2 Team Parlay #316807074

    Football - College Lines (Game) Point Spread

    (113) Oregon -10½ Nov 07/13@09:00p

    Competitor: (114) Stanford

    Football - College Lines (Game) Total

    (113) Oregon vs. (114) Stanford

    Over 62 (-105) Nov 07/13@09:00p
    Web US$ 55.92 US$ 152.51

  11. #911
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    I'm on Stanford also. +11
    +305 ml


    Like the points. The ML is just a Buckeye sweat/hope.


    also

    Oklahoma +16

  12. #912
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fademypicks View Post
    Busted the poker account a few weeks ago and put my scraps on some parlays tonight... The 6 team payout seems insane.. Is this correct for such a small bet....



    6 Team Parlay #316984909

    Football - NFL Lines (Game) Point Spread

    NFL WEEK 10

    (107) Washington Redskins -3 (+115) Nov 07/13@08:25p

    Competitor: (108) Minnesota Vikings

    Football - NFL Lines (Game) Total

    NFL WEEK 10

    (107) Washington Redskins vs. (108) Minnesota Vikings

    Under 49 Nov 07/13@08:25p

    Football - College Lines (Game) Point Spread

    (113) Oregon -10½ (-105) Nov 07/13@09:00p

    Competitor: (114) Stanford

    Football - College Lines (Game) Total

    (113) Oregon vs. (114) Stanford

    Under 62 (-115) Nov 07/13@09:00p

    Football - College Lines (Game) Point Spread

    (109) Oklahoma +16 Nov 07/13@07:30p

    Competitor: (110) Baylor

    Football - College Lines (Game) Total

    (109) Oklahoma vs. (110) Baylor

    Under 74 Nov 07/13@07:30p
    Web US$ 13.98 US$ 749.38
    Nov 06, 2013 03:57:49 PM
    2 Team Parlay #316807074

    Football - College Lines (Game) Point Spread

    (113) Oregon -10½ Nov 07/13@09:00p

    Competitor: (114) Stanford

    Football - College Lines (Game) Total

    (113) Oregon vs. (114) Stanford

    Over 62 (-105) Nov 07/13@09:00p
    Web US$ 55.92 US$ 152.51

    Someone here who plays parlay please explain how this payout is over 50-1 on a 6 team parlay... Is this a bogus bet or do I only have to be right 1-50 times to profit.... BCR, China, Beers anyone????

  13. #913
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    Best college football Thursday in a LONG time.

    Oregon is always good but this looks to be their most explosive team ever and by far their best QB who is getting better every week. Can they go on the road and take out a tough stanford team? I know they can win but can they march in there and blow them out?

    Then you have the changing of the guard in the Big 12. Art Briles may be the best coach in the country. This guy has to recruit against all of the Texas/Oklahoma and SEC schools and has taken Baylor from a nothing program to a potential national title contender and has already produced a Heisman. Would love to see them beat down Oklahoma tonight for the country to see they are for real even though they haven't played any "top" teams.

    If texas fires brown or forces him out Briles will be the next Texas coach provided Saban doesn't want it.

  14. #914
    Platinum ShadyJ's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    I'm on Stanford also. +11
    +305 ml


    Like the points. The ML is just a Buckeye sweat/hope.


    also

    Oklahoma +16
    I went Stanford and Baylor

  15. #915
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    Quote Originally Posted by Fademypicks View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Fademypicks View Post
    Busted the poker account a few weeks ago and put my scraps on some parlays tonight... The 6 team payout seems insane.. Is this correct for such a small bet....



    6 Team Parlay #316984909

    Football - NFL Lines (Game) Point Spread

    NFL WEEK 10

    (107) Washington Redskins -3 (+115) Nov 07/13@08:25p

    Competitor: (108) Minnesota Vikings

    Football - NFL Lines (Game) Total

    NFL WEEK 10

    (107) Washington Redskins vs. (108) Minnesota Vikings

    Under 49 Nov 07/13@08:25p

    Football - College Lines (Game) Point Spread

    (113) Oregon -10½ (-105) Nov 07/13@09:00p

    Competitor: (114) Stanford

    Football - College Lines (Game) Total

    (113) Oregon vs. (114) Stanford

    Under 62 (-115) Nov 07/13@09:00p

    Football - College Lines (Game) Point Spread

    (109) Oklahoma +16 Nov 07/13@07:30p

    Competitor: (110) Baylor

    Football - College Lines (Game) Total

    (109) Oklahoma vs. (110) Baylor

    Under 74 Nov 07/13@07:30p
    Web US$ 13.98 US$ 749.38
    Nov 06, 2013 03:57:49 PM
    2 Team Parlay #316807074

    Football - College Lines (Game) Point Spread

    (113) Oregon -10½ Nov 07/13@09:00p

    Competitor: (114) Stanford

    Football - College Lines (Game) Total

    (113) Oregon vs. (114) Stanford

    Over 62 (-105) Nov 07/13@09:00p
    Web US$ 55.92 US$ 152.51

    Someone here who plays parlay please explain how this payout is over 50-1 on a 6 team parlay... Is this a bogus bet or do I only have to be right 1-50 times to profit.... BCR, China, Beers anyone????
    Thats about right with a +115 and -105. I just did one to see on Bovada and it was like $100 less with all -110s

  16. #916
    Platinum ShadyJ's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by ShadyJ View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    I'm on Stanford also. +11
    +305 ml


    Like the points. The ML is just a Buckeye sweat/hope.


    also

    Oklahoma +16
    I went Stanford and Baylor
    Adding Vikings +3 -130 Executive
    Washington Capitals -110 Crusher

  17. #917
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    no idea on parlays, if I fire them I pick 6 -10 teams and put very little on them and see what happens, payouts are big thats all I know

  18. #918
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    I never bet parlay anymore fade, but I'm guessing that's right. From what I recall from back in the day, the parlay tickets I used to sell when I was young paid 40/1 on a 6 teamer, and they were rip offs, and offered worse odds in general, so that's probably about right with mostly straight action.

  19. #919
    Diamond DRK Star's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BeerAndPoker View Post
    I'm thinking of just 13 point teasing both games tonight like this:

    Oklahoma +16 (-105) +29
    Over 74 (-105) Oklahoma vs. Baylor 61
    Stanford +11 (-115) +24
    Over 62 (-105) Oregon vs. Stanford 49

    You should be good, because I am taking Baylor and Oregon (and besides the joke of a Chicago straight up bet, Im running shitty)

    I still think Oregon is going to have to blow people out in order to get to the Championship. Talking heads saying Bama and Ore for sure, but if they dont play well, FL St IMO gets to #2 and plays for trophy. Id love to see LSU win and turn the final 3/4 teams rankings into a circus. I also like the Unders because teams will be a little tight trying to ensure minimal errors against tough opponents. Baylor has a good run game, so if OK can cover the receivers tight tonight, Baylor switches to a run game a bit more frequently, causing the clock to run more.

  20. #920
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    I never bet parlay anymore fade, but I'm guessing that's right. From what I recall from back in the day, the parlay tickets I used to sell when I was young paid 40/1 on a 6 teamer, and they were rip offs, and offered worse odds in general, so that's probably about right with mostly straight action.

    Thx guys for the reply.. Just noticed I hit the under on the Oregon and over on the 2 team.. Hope it comes down to one of those lol...

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