*** Official NFL/ NCAA Betting Discussion Thread

[simpdog]

Books don't lose money

They got pounded on the faves all weekend and recouped a ton last night. Should have been a 40-9 game not 14-9.

I'm just surprised the w-h didn't predict this. Seemed like an easy mark for weird shit to go down.

Seattle does need home field advantage they better keep winning.

[ShadyJ]

Books don't lose money

They got pounded on the faves all weekend and recouped a ton last night. Should have been a 40-9 game not 14-9.

I'm just surprised the w-h didn't predict this. Seemed like an easy mark for weird shit to go down.

Seattle does need home field advantage they better keep winning.

Nothing to say just wanted to bold that.

[ShadyJ]

Ive been following this Hockey crusher and its won 10 straight. I jumped on board after 6 straight. Ill post them in here if it keeps winning. Tonight

Anaheim Ducks -120

[ShadyJ]

Not a bad night


Oct 28, 2013 06:11:14 PM
Single #315136959

Baseball - MLB (Game) Total

Best of Seven (2-3-2) Series tied 2-2

MLB WORLD SERIES

(959) Boston Red Sox vs. (960) St. Louis Cardinals

Under 7 (-145) Oct 28/13@07:05p


• Game must go 9 innings (8.5 if home team is ahead) or this pick is NO ACTION.

• Jon Lester (L) must throw first pitch for Boston Red Sox or this pick is NO ACTION.

• Adam Wainwright (R) must throw first pitch for St. Louis Cardinals or this pick is NO ACTION.


Final Scores

Boston Red Sox 3

St. Louis Cardinals 1



Outcome: Win

Date settled: Oct 28, 2013 10:00:59 PM


Oct 28, 2013 05:04:45 PM
Single #315121380

Hockey - NHL (Game) Total

(55) Montreal Canadiens vs. (56) New York Rangers

Under 5 (-105) Oct 28/13@06:35p


Final Scores

Montreal Canadiens 2

New York Rangers 0



Outcome: Win

Date settled: Oct 28, 2013 09:16:30 PM


Oct 28, 2013 05:00:32 PM
Single #315120680

Football - NFL Lines (Game) Total

NFL WEEK 8

(231) Seattle Seahawks vs. (232) St. Louis Rams

Under 43½ Oct 28/13@07:40p


Final Scores

Seattle Seahawks 14

St. Louis Rams 9



Outcome: Win

Date settled: Oct 28, 2013 10:41:06 PM

Oct 28, 2013 05:00:07 PM
Single #315120604

Football - NFL Lines (Game) Point Spread

NFL WEEK 8

(232) St. Louis Rams +14 Oct 28/13@07:40p


Final Scores

Seattle Seahawks 14

St. Louis Rams 9



Outcome: Win

Date settled: Oct 28, 2013 10:41:06 PM


Oct 28, 2013 08:02:58 AM
Single #315075550

Hockey - NHL (Game) Moneyline

(57) Chicago Blackhawks -125 Oct 28/13@07:05p


Final Scores

Chicago Blackhawks 5

Minnesota Wild 1



Outcome: Win

Date settled: Oct 28, 2013 09:30:38 PM

[Hockey Guy]

Not a bad night

big dick just IM'd me to tell me he's not impressed with your performance. He wrote it in a french accent too:



I, on the other hand, am pretty impressed.

[chinamaniac]

total for the week 15-9 , 4-6 flat plays -2.65 units, 11-3 action points +99.5 points!

Season 81-67 ats 54.72 % (40-46 straight plays -10.55 units , 41-23 action point wagers +293.3 points)

Plays up in a bit

[chinamaniac]

Dallas -10 (action points)
Saints/Jets Under 45.5
KC -3
Kc Buff under 40.5
Wash +1
Sea -16
Sea -16 (action points)
Bal/Clev under 41
N.E. -6.5
Indy -1
Indy Hous under 44.5
GB -10.5 (action points)


Houston -17.5 (action points)
Rice +5
Oregon State -5
Clemson -16.5 (action points)
N Ill -23 (action points)
Rutgers -13.5 (action points)
Marshall -30 (action points)
Utep +45.5
TCU -13 (action points)
Zona -16 (action points)
FSU -22 (action points)
Mich St -6
Ohio St -31 (action points)
Ucla -27 (action points)
Auburn -8 (action points)
Texas -28 (action points)
Fresno -20.5 (action points)
Boise -6.5

[simpdog]

total for the week 15-9 , 4-6 flat plays -2.65 units, 11-3 action points +99.5 points!

Season 81-67 ats 54.72 % (40-46 straight plays -10.55 units , 41-23 action point wagers +293.3 points)

Plays up in a bit

Seems like you should stick with action points only. You're hitting those games really well.

[Daly]

This is my list.

NFL Futures
300/5400 A Brown DROTY - Cant get on the field
300/2400 J Jones DROTY - Has @ids
300/900 C Johnson most Rec Yards - back on top
300/1050 AD most Rush Yards - Second place to McCoy
500/435 Tom Brady Less Than 4800.5 Passing yards - I'm calling game, needs 400 yards a game the rest of the way
500/435 A Foster Less Than 1375.5 Rushing Yards - behind the pace, needs 94 yards a game
500/435 M Lynch Less Than 1475.5 Rushing Yards - behind the pace. needs 110 yards a game. Close to calling game.
500/435 J Jones Less Than 1330.5 Rec Yards - Aids patent. Game over
550/500 Colts Less Than 8.5 Wins - Not looking so good here.

[ShadyJ]

Ive been following this Hockey crusher and its won 10 straight. I jumped on board after 6 straight. Ill post them in here if it keeps winning. Tonight

Anaheim Ducks -120

Down 0-2 I thought I jinxed it but they came back to win. going for 12 straight

San Jose Sharks -120

[chinamaniac]

total for the week 15-9 , 4-6 flat plays -2.65 units, 11-3 action points +99.5 points!

Season 81-67 ats 54.72 % (40-46 straight plays -10.55 units , 41-23 action point wagers +293.3 points)

Plays up in a bit

Seems like you should stick with action points only. You're hitting those games really well.

thats similar to saying you should only play AA and KK cause they win the most money after you lost with 99 and 10 10 , 6 games below 500 is nothing over 86 games.

But I have found true over 10 years I have hit a higher % of my action point plays ATS

[simpdog]

Seems like you should stick with action points only. You're hitting those games really well.

thats similar to saying you should only play AA and KK cause they win the most money after you lost with 99 and 10 10 , 6 games below 500 is nothing over 86 games.

But I have found true over 10 years I have hit a higher % of my action point plays ATS

Your second point is exactly my point.

If you could invest in something paying 1% interest or 10% interest, which would you like to invest in?

[ShadyJ]

Seems like you should stick with action points only. You're hitting those games really well.

thats similar to saying you should only play AA and KK cause they win the most money after you lost with 99 and 10 10 , 6 games below 500 is nothing over 86 games.

But I have found true over 10 years I have hit a higher % of my action point plays ATS

Thats not a good analogy.

[chinamaniac]

thats similar to saying you should only play AA and KK cause they win the most money after you lost with 99 and 10 10 , 6 games below 500 is nothing over 86 games.

But I have found true over 10 years I have hit a higher % of my action point plays ATS

Thats not a good analogy.

sure it is, its like losing with 99 and 10 10 out of a tiny sample and saying play the better hands cause they are holding up more.

[chinamaniac]

thats similar to saying you should only play AA and KK cause they win the most money after you lost with 99 and 10 10 , 6 games below 500 is nothing over 86 games.

But I have found true over 10 years I have hit a higher % of my action point plays ATS

Your second point is exactly my point.

If you could invest in something paying 1% interest or 10% interest, which would you like to invest in?

Again I'll compare it to poker. If I am marginally winning in spots I still have to play them even if they lose short term. +ev is +ev

[BeerAndPoker]

I agree with China about taking +EV edges.

What I'm not sure about is if he's locking in all these plays now or just posting leans because I don't like locking in anything this early on since anyone can get hurt and if it's a key player it can come back to bite you in the ass.

[chinamaniac]

I agree with China about taking +EV edges.

What I'm not sure about is if he's locking in all these plays now or just posting leans because I don't like locking in anything this early on since anyone can get hurt and if it's a key player it can come back to bite you in the ass.

all locked in

I'm not concerned about players getting hurt having it effect a line. I beat the closing line WAY more often than I don't and over time this shit adds up. If I wait I am giving up way more of an edge because most of the time the line moves would kill me

[BeerAndPoker]

I agree with China about taking +EV edges.

What I'm not sure about is if he's locking in all these plays now or just posting leans because I don't like locking in anything this early on since anyone can get hurt and if it's a key player it can come back to bite you in the ass.

all locked in

I'm not concerned about players getting hurt having it effect a line. I beat the closing line WAY more often than I don't and over time this shit adds up. If I wait I am giving up way more of an edge because most of the time the line moves would kill me

Fair enough! GLGL

[simpdog]

Your second point is exactly my point.

If you could invest in something paying 1% interest or 10% interest, which would you like to invest in?

Again I'll compare it to poker. If I am marginally winning in spots I still have to play them even if they lose short term. +ev is +ev

So you would rather play 99 vs AK than AK vs KQ? +EV is +EV

Edit: That came off wrong. I'm just trying to make the point I would rather keep pounding situations I'm more EV in. UNLESS you've hit the maximum betting on the spots where you are +EV and it's the only out

[ShadyJ]

Your second point is exactly my point.

If you could invest in something paying 1% interest or 10% interest, which would you like to invest in?

Again I'll compare it to poker. If I am marginally winning in spots I still have to play them even if they lose short term. +ev is +ev

In poker you cant pick and choose like betting on sports.

Its more like having 2 games going and you have an edge in both but a bigger egde in 1 but you choose the other one. Then you could say I can just play both which is why again its a bad analogy.