*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

[Kalam]

Two NFL for today.

Note that one is yet another bet on a shitty team, so tread lightly. If you are iffy, take the spread instead of the ML.

New Orleans +177 vs Tampa
Indy vs Tennessee - Over 48 -110

I have Saints too. First drive was going good and Rattler fumbled. Ugh.

[Dan Druff]

Well that explains it.

Please warn me when we have the same pick.

I just have to root that the Indy game goes over.

[Dan Druff]

Almost got fucked on this over. Cam Ward threw an INT right by the goal line with 7 min left, and a 38-7 score. Indy was just interested in eating time at that point. However, Tennessee got the ball back and finally put a TD through, so I'm 1-1 today.

So overall I'm happy with the day, despite breaking even with my bets.

Survivor EV went from $4400 to $9100.

[Tellafriend]

Un fucking real.

Have Bengals in a teaser. All they have to do is win. They are up 14 in 4th and give up 15 straight points in 2 drives. But they have 1 drive to come back and just horrible execution.

Around midfield so need 15 yards.

1st and 10. --Pass over the middle to 4th WR that hasn't caught a pass all game and was dropped. In fairness it would have been a very tough catch as 2 defenders hit receiver right when he would have caught it.
2nd and 10. --Running play straight into the line. No yards. WTF?. It would be one thing if it was 1st and 10, but you never run here on 2nd and 10.
3rd and 10. -- Throw ball out of bounds under pressure.
4th and 10. --Another pass dropped. Not as tough.

Game, set, match. Horrible.

me too, know i know. god damn it verm.


also had Chi teased to +8.5 and despite 4 attempts from the 1yr line, zip. maddening.

[Tellafriend]

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/NickyPerkss/status/1982565531405480123

[Kalam]

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/NickyPerkss/status/1982565531405480123

They owe him $54 million, so he is definitely getting the last laugh all the way to the bank.

[Kalam]

Un fucking real.

Have Bengals in a teaser. All they have to do is win. They are up 14 in 4th and give up 15 straight points in 2 drives. But they have 1 drive to come back and just horrible execution.

Around midfield so need 15 yards.

1st and 10. --Pass over the middle to 4th WR that hasn't caught a pass all game and was dropped. In fairness it would have been a very tough catch as 2 defenders hit receiver right when he would have caught it.
2nd and 10. --Running play straight into the line. No yards. WTF?. It would be one thing if it was 1st and 10, but you never run here on 2nd and 10.
3rd and 10. -- Throw ball out of bounds under pressure.
4th and 10. --Another pass dropped. Not as tough.

Game, set, match. Horrible.

me too, know i know. god damn it verm.


also had Chi teased to +8.5 and despite 4 attempts from the 1yr line, zip. maddening.

Funny. The teaser I had was Cincinnati/Baltimore. I made it when everyone was sure Lamar was playing so I had a horrible line and still won the leg. But didn't matter because of Bengals choke job. Obviously Bengals not being able to get a game winning FG drive in the clutch sucks, but just as bad was the insane amount of running yards they gave up. How the fuck do you let a team with such a limited passing offense run for so many yards?

[Tellafriend]

me too, know i know. god damn it verm.


also had Chi teased to +8.5 and despite 4 attempts from the 1yr line, zip. maddening.

Funny. The teaser I had was Cincinnati/Baltimore. I made it when everyone was sure Lamar was playing so I had a horrible line and still won the leg. But didn't matter because of Bengals choke job. Obviously Bengals not being able to get a game winning FG drive in the clutch sucks, but just as bad was the insane amount of running yards they gave up. How the fuck do you let a team with such a limited passing offense run for so many yards?

but for the fucking i recd from chi and cinncy i would have won a lot today.

had Gb huge tonight. wasn't happy at halftime, so i bet more. worked out this time.

next week will be interesting. there is a pattern here that's hard to see, but exists, through all this noise

[BCR]

Cavs are at Detroit tonight. Both played yesterday, but Cavs have to travel on b2b and with Garland out, Strus out, haven’t looked very impressive so far. Detroit was an ascending team at the end of the season last year and just look hungrier to me thus far. I just expect Detroit to win this one by 8-12 and you can get +120.



Single
@
+120
Open
Oct 27 • 2025 At 12:01:10 PM
Ticket ID: 9764798
Moneyline: DET Pistons
CLE Cavaliers @ DET Pistons

[Dan Druff]

Washington +10.5 -115 at Kansas City

[BCR]

Cavs are at Detroit tonight. Both played yesterday, but Cavs have to travel on b2b and with Garland out, Strus out, haven’t looked very impressive so far. Detroit was an ascending team at the end of the season last year and just look hungrier to me thus far. I just expect Detroit to win this one by 8-12 and you can get +120.



Single
@
+120
Open
Oct 27 • 2025 At 12:01:10 PM
Ticket ID: 9764798
Moneyline: DET Pistons
CLE Cavaliers @ DET Pistons

Man this looks like a horrible bet. Pistons missed 19 straight shots. Like 6 layups. I’m going to need a collapse which seems unlikely

[Dan Druff]

So here's a fucking weird thing that happened.

lowvig dot ag is a non-promoted version of BOL, aimed at sharps. It's basically BOL (same ownership) with identical lines on most things, but some reduced juice on mainstream totals and sides. Moneylines are always the same as BOL, as are half-game lines, etc.

So I just take for granted that I will get, at minimum, the same line as BOL. I never post the lowvig line here because it's reduced juice, and most people aren't signed up there, so I just post the best mainstream book line I see, in interest of fairness of record keeping for posted picks.

Anyway, I saw BOL had Washington +10.5 -115. Lowvig I see -112, so I fire there obviously. However, it turns out that Lowvig was +10 -112, not +10.5!



I've never seen that before. It tricked me. I didn't even look at the line because I was so used to it always being the same as BOL. Dirty.

The other oddity here is that +10 -112 is substantially WORSE than +10.5 -115, so why would the "low vig" book be featuring the worse of the two lines?

Hopefully it won't matter.

For a very short time I had low vig on Betanysports, but they killed that very fast when they realized I wasn't a ploppy. My limits on 5 cent juice lines there is lol $50.

Polymarket was -117 so that was no good.

[Dan Druff]

Year of the ploppy continues. Very public bets have been crushing recently in NFL.

Expert strategy:

1) Pick the substantially better team in an NFL matchup

2) Bet on their spread line

3) Profit

[Kalam]

This is the first time I have been on in the last 12 hours, so apologies for past posting.

But Lakers just finished playing a back to back with 4 of their top 6 rotation players out, including Luka and Lebron. Portland -3 seemed like free money and it was.

Bronny played 19 minutes off the bench and didn't score. Not great.

[Dan Druff]

This is the first time I have been on in the last 12 hours, so apologies for past posting.

But Lakers just finished playing a back to back with 4 of their top 6 rotation players out, including Luka and Lebron. Portland -3 seemed like free money and it was.

Bronny played 19 minutes off the bench and didn't score. Not great.

Bronny's offense really is a catastrophe. Not just this game. In general.

I have to imagine that he won't be in the NBA very long, once Daddy has retired.