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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #42001
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Cinci -124 vs Cubs who just clinched. Cubs get on the team plane, disable smoke detectors and arrive in Cincinnati stoned

     
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      Daly: Play was sharp as a knife. Well done

  2. #42002
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Going Blue Jays -120 today.

    Bassitt has been pitching decent only giving up ~2 runs per start but just hasn't received much run support. Today he gets the runs (support).

    Hopefully they clinch playoffs today, division soon and can rest up / get the rotation setup for the playoffs.

    1pm afternoon game.

     
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      Tellafriend: Blue JaysML -130 LFG

  3. #42003
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Another way to look at it was that 80% of the money went on NE when 61% of the bets did, which is often an indicator that there's sharp money on it.

    Broncos and Eagles were the two truly public sides this past week.

    Maybe a better way to put it is its a "Pros & Joes" game. And what you said is true about the $$ outpacing the tickets. However

    1: the fact that they never budged off of 2.5 not even .10 tells you the sharp action was at least split. Rare to see a 80/20 split with the line not moving.

    2: Im not going into details here and I dont want to "Trust me Bro" you.... but someone that would know better than both of us said the whole world was on Pats. Pats ML was in half of parlays like it was a free square.

  4. #42004
    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Going Blue Jays -120 today.

    Bassitt has been pitching decent only giving up ~2 runs per start but just hasn't received much run support. Today he gets the runs (support).

    Hopefully they clinch playoffs today, division soon and can rest up / get the rotation setup for the playoffs.

    1pm afternoon game.
    Sigh, not the start I was looking for but still early. Going to need another comeback from the comeback kids.

  5. #42005
    Platinum 1dollarboxcar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Cinci -124 vs Cubs who just clinched. Cubs get on the team plane, disable smoke detectors and arrive in Cincinnati stoned
    yeah and against Hunter Greene too... up to -144 now, ... i'm just gonna do a little more than a sprinkle...

  6. #42006
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    I was asked to look into tonights game so i figured i would share.

    Its really sucks to have to say it, but Miami +11.5 is the only play I would make. Yes they suck. No Im not a big fan of it. Rules are the rules though.

    On the prop front my take is it will be hard for both QB to go over Comp/ATT/Yards and I expect a fair amount of rushing. Take unders across the board on QB and my guess is you have a much better chance to go 6/6 5/6 4/6 than 3/6 2/6 1/6 or 0/6.

    Cook over 69 by the numbers works but a rb over is a dangerous game

  7. #42007
    Plutonium lol wow's Avatar
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    under 26 second half d fence?? its in for 225 so we shall see

  8. #42008
    Plutonium lol wow's Avatar
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    lol im so fucked

  9. #42009
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by 1dollarboxcar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Cinci -124 vs Cubs who just clinched. Cubs get on the team plane, disable smoke detectors and arrive in Cincinnati stoned
    yeah and against Hunter Greene too... up to -144 now, ... i'm just gonna do a little more than a sprinkle ✅...
    Hunter Greene spins a 9 inning complete game shutout

    Perfection doesn’t pay extra and that just ain’t right.

     
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      Tellafriend: ty, i covertly tailed.
      
      1dollarboxcar: yeah hell of a game pitched, wished i did more than a sprinkle...lol... thanks for posting the play though San... still appreciate... :)

  10. #42010
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    I was asked to look into tonights game so i figured i would share.

    Its really sucks to have to say it, but Miami +11.5 is the only play I would make. Yes they suck. No Im not a big fan of it. Rules are the rules though.

    On the prop front my take is it will be hard for both QB to go over Comp/ATT/Yards and I expect a fair amount of rushing. Take unders across the board on QB and my guess is you have a much better chance to go 6/6 5/6 4/6 than 3/6 2/6 1/6 or 0/6.

    Cook over 69 by the numbers works but a rb over is a dangerous game
    Miami +11.5
    Tua Comps
    Tua Attempts
    Tua Pass Yards
    Josh Attempts
    Josh Yards
    Cook Yards Over



    Josh Comps (By 1)



     
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      JimmyG_415: Wow, that is impressive

  11. #42011
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Glad i made the effort last night so I am going to degen a little this evening.

    Tulsa +10
    Tulsa U 54
    Iowa O 46

    Braves +103
    Rays +124
    Fish +132
    Ms -109
    Phils +111

    W Sox U 4.5 F5 -115
    Brew U 4 F5 -110

     
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      JimmyG_415: Wow, was too late for Atl, but was in on the rest. You could've chalked up all 3 NCAA's in the 1Q.
      
      Tellafriend: top, top

  12. #42012
    Cubic Zirconia
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    Everything I read about bovada is that it's gone to shit.

    Do you still use them Todd? Or anyone

  13. #42013
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Glad i made the effort last night so I am going to degen a little this evening.

    Tulsa +10
    Tulsa U 54
    Iowa O 46

    Braves +103
    Rays +124
    Fish +132
    Ms -109
    Phils +111

    W Sox U 4.5 F5 -115
    Brew U 4 F5 -110
    Guess I should rethink the F5 Unders

    Tulsa +10
    Tulsa U 54
    Iowa O 46
    Braves +103
    Fish +132
    Ms -109
    Phils +111



    Rays +124
    W Sox U 4.5 F5 -115
    Brew U 4 F5 -110


  14. #42014
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Card for tomorrow

    Tt +3
    Neb +2.5
    Purdue +25.5
    S Car +9.5
    Temple U52.5
    Vandy U53.5
    Tulane +10
    Sam Hou +39.5
    USC U55

    I do keep going back and forth on Tech. At its worst its a "good bet" and not a "great bet".

    At time of publish Nebraska is +1. Still like it. Prob my play of the day.

  15. #42015
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    Yes I had Auburn +6.5. LOL.

    I also had Miami Ohio, which was a stupendous collapse.

  16. #42016
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    Yes I had Auburn +6.5. LOL.

    I also had Miami Ohio, which was a stupendous collapse.
    That was an important 2 points for a lot of people" # Musburger.


    I didn't get any Purdue at 26 or 26.5 so that was an important .5 for me.

    Sometimes you the nail, sometimes you the hook.

  17. #42017
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    I actually barely dodged what probably would have been the worst beat of the year. Had North Texas -2 over Army. They won by 7 in the first OT when they scored first and Army didn't match, but it was an all time collapse just to get to OT. Look at the box score last 5 minutes of regulation. So much North Texas fail. And if Army scores a TD in overtime they probably go for 2, so even if NT holds they only win by 1 and I still lose.

  18. #42018
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Card for tomorrow

    Tt +3
    Neb +2.5
    Purdue +25.5
    S Car +9.5
    Temple U52.5
    Vandy U53.5
    Tulane +10
    Sam Hou +39.5
    USC U55

    I do keep going back and forth on Tech. At its worst its a "good bet" and not a "great bet".

    At time of publish Nebraska is +1. Still like it. Prob my play of the day.

    any cause for concern with the USC under jumping up to 57 ?

  19. #42019
    Plutonium lol wow's Avatar
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    usc 50 msu 3

  20. #42020
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    Quote Originally Posted by lol wow View Post
    usc 50 msu 3
    did u post this right as mich state was throwing a bomb for a touchdown or what?

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