Originally Posted by Dan Druff
One of then hit in the 1st, the other in the 2nd.
good job druff! you scared me a bit w your record this month, so i went lightly, but appreciate it nonetheless.
One of then hit in the 1st, the other in the 2nd.
good job druff! you scared me a bit w your record this month, so i went lightly, but appreciate it nonetheless.
I don't blame you for going lightly.
I've struggled this month, and my recent wins have been of the lucky last minute variety, rather than the "this was a great pick" variety.
To be fair, my last 3 losses were all razor-thin close, so I deserved better than the result there.
Anyway, I suggested these two because there were four pitchers going who have all shown signs of being primed for a bombing, especially two of them. Was hard to pass up over 4.5 in those games. Nice when it works like this and there's no sweat at all.
This space reserved for Simpdog
Homage to Bichette who should be playing the US Open
I will cosign Jays -1.5 +110
Twins stats aren't great against lefties. Lauer super rested.
Just need a lead large enough to fade Jekyll and Hoffman coming into the game. Also not sure what's up with Varland I couldn't believe the Twins gave him up......he was lights out but past 5 games has given up a run each time.
Glad they had a nice comeback victory, but lost a unit on the -1.5......ugh
Glad they had a nice comeback victory, but lost a unit on the -1.5......ugh
i got lucky and didn't see this until it was underway and they were 0-1. so i live bet bj ML and covered!
i think we went 2-0 with this one too; well done.
It’s a fun not profit card.
Chance to scout World Series matchup. Sadly the MLB’s best team post ASG lost their closer Trevor Megill to an arm issue. He’s toast.
Skenes fade cause. Also he’s on the road so Pirates leash that hound. He sells Pittsburgh tickets. They don’t care to put Boston mileage on his arm. I’m backing a Sawks call up rookie pitcher who really never pitched in AAA.
The Athletics are gonna be pretty darn good by the time Vegas rolls around unless they have to sell parts to pay a concrete invoice.
Edit: Athletics have the best MLB bullpen last 3 weeks. Kinda not even close. Shocked
If someone parlayed Athletics and Dodgers I wouldn’t ridicule them. I mean I’d really try. I have impulse control issues when it comes to Dodgers
This one is easy for me to root for as a Dodgers fan.
I am going with the Twins to beat the Padres tonight.
Zack Matthews has struck out 67 in 52 2/3 innings. He also has had a problem with giving up hits and walks, which have led to ugly ERA/WHIP numbers.
I watched Nestor Cortes last game against the Dodgers. His numbers were great -- he retired the first 16 batters he faced, and left after 6 innings and allowing just 1 hit and no walks. However, he only struck out 3, and he gave up a lot of hard hit balls, which happened to go to infielders or outfielders. Overall he's been decent for the Padres, but far from dominant.
To the ploppies, San Diego -120 would seem like a steal. You're betting on the superior team, in a pennant race, against a pitcher with bad numbers.
But here's something to chew on. The money is overwhelmingly on SD, yet the line has moved the opposite way. So I shall as well.
Minnesota (Z. Matthews) +112 vs San Diego (N. Cortes)
starts in about 50 minutes CHC @ COL... Cade Horton of CHC over 4.5 strike outs +105
meh, missed it by one... 6 ip and 4k's... he didn't look all that sharp tonight either against a bunch of no names and a team that is 2nd in the MLB in strikeouts.... with a 52% swing rate (highest in MLB)... Horton's strikeouts have actually been up lately... thought i could get it considering the circumstances stated above....
Matthews was okay.
Cortes wasn't good.
The Twins fell behind 2-1 but went up 7-2, before nearly blowing it in the 9th and winning 7-4.
Overall a pretty solid pick, as I mostly predicted what would happen, and the pick itself won.
Ploppies lose, books win, I win.
Fun not profit was the theme and we stuck to the script
Milwaukee blew the doors off Toronto and I got a deserved L
Brewers have far and away the best record versus teams >.500 in the MLB
Sometimes ya gotta play the best to find out where you’re at - the Jays and I found out. Sorry Simpdog
Texas +1.5
I think Virginia Thumps coastal today
If you get the full 14 (or buy it for .10) give me Eastern Mich
I do appreciate Druff's dedication to the bit that we are all supposed to pretend that there is square money betting small market teams playing Thursday night baseball in the first week of the CFB season.Matthews was okay.
Cortes wasn't good.
The Twins fell behind 2-1 but went up 7-2, before nearly blowing it in the 9th and winning 7-4.
Overall a pretty solid pick, as I mostly predicted what would happen, and the pick itself won.
Ploppies lose, books win, I win.
There is square money on all major sports, especially in the era of online betting.I do appreciate Druff's dedication to the bit that we are all supposed to pretend that there is square money betting small market teams playing Thursday night baseball in the first week of the CFB season.
There are tons of dudes who look at the MLB schedule and think they are finding brilliant picks in trap lines like these, and are convinced this is why they can beat sports.
Along the same lines...
Here is another trap line.
Merrill Kelly was brilliant last time out, throwing 7 shutout innings, allowing just 4 hits and 2 BB, and striking out 8. How could anyone back his opponent, rookie Mason Barnett, who has struggled even at the minor league level this year?
It's what I call the Nick Martinez rule. Kelly threw 96 pitches. Many MLB pitchers today are not accustomed to long outings, and struggle in their following start. I believe this will happen to Kelly today.
BOL has a great +122 line right now -- far better than other books, even Polymarket.
So we are doing that.
Sacramento (Barnett) +122 vs Texas (M. Kelly)
This... was not a good pick.
Ploppies likely gonna win.
I should have taken more care regarding Barnett's minor league record (which I mentioned). Sucked too much to translate to an effective MLB start. Different than Zack Matthews who had bad MLB numbers, but was striking people out at a high rate, so he had a shot at pitching decently.
Kelly has looked good so far, too. This is gonna be a blowout.
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