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Thread: ***Official*** MLB 2025 Thread

  1. #861
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post
    paging Simp, paging Simp.



    my markers will be due w/n the next 2 weeks, gonna need some help here w MLB pal....
    I haven't been that hot in August but I have 2 overs I posted in other thread.

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    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Interesting fact on the Dodgers broadcast today.

    76 years ago, August 26, 1949, the Dodgers were at home playing the Reds, just like they are today.

    Ownership decided to try a new technological gimmick. They broadcasted the game on a new fad called "television". There were only 500 televisions in the NYC area at the time, so hardly anyone watched.

    That was the first televised MLB game ever.

    Vin Scully did not broadcast that game. He would start working for the Dodgers 8 months later, in April 1950.

  3. #863
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Interesting fact on the Dodgers broadcast today.

    76 years ago, August 26, 1949, the Dodgers were at home playing the Reds, just like they are today.

    Ownership decided to try a new technological gimmick. They broadcasted the game on a new fad called "television". There were only 500 televisions in the NYC area at the time, so hardly anyone watched.

    That was the first televised MLB game ever.

    Vin Scully did not broadcast that game. He would start working for the Dodgers 8 months later, in April 1950.
    Saw the game but via the Cincinnati Reds broadcast outta self respect.

    Joe Davis talking about Vin Scully is some “keep my name outta your mouth” kinda shit. Vin Scully was a gift.

    I was a kid in Phoenix listening to Dodgers games on a transistor radio late at night in bed. I may never have actually seen a Dodger game on tv. Players were just names to me. Obviously Scully was that compelling to even a kid. Like listening to music

    Joe Davis has zero talent comparatively

     
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      Jayjami: Vin Scully is God. Davis sucks balls.

  4. #864
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Ohtani has been awful last 2 starts. 9 earned runs on 14 hits in only 8.1 innings. So he’s struggling but he’s still missing bats. Reds have 6th highest K% vs RHP last 3 weeks. Ohtani has higher K% at home vs road.

    Over 5.5K -135

    I’m making a sharp case for Ohtani. That’ll spin ya around.

    Reds Lodolo had a blister. Everyone knows. That gives ya sharp opportunity. Before he went out he was 7, 8 & 11. The 11 was courtesy of the Dodgers. Last 3 weeks while Lodolo was out Dodgers have 12th highest K% vs lefties.

    Over 4.5 +115

    Those are your Dodgers hate bets of the day. I am resisting replacing Kershaw with Ohtani but I’m put in an awkward position. Roki will be back. That’ll distract me

     
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      Dan Druff: wow, 100% accurate

  5. #865
    Platinum Jayjami's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Interesting fact on the Dodgers broadcast today.

    76 years ago, August 26, 1949, the Dodgers were at home playing the Reds, just like they are today.

    Ownership decided to try a new technological gimmick. They broadcasted the game on a new fad called "television". There were only 500 televisions in the NYC area at the time, so hardly anyone watched.

    That was the first televised MLB game ever.

    Vin Scully did not broadcast that game. He would start working for the Dodgers 8 months later, in April 1950.
    Saw the game but via the Cincinnati Reds broadcast outta self respect.

    Joe Davis talking about Vin Scully is some “keep my name outta your mouth” kinda shit. Vin Scully was a gift.

    I was a kid in Phoenix listening to Dodgers games on a transistor radio late at night in bed. I may never have actually seen a Dodger game on tv. Players were just names to me. Obviously Scully was that compelling to even a kid. Like listening to music

    Joe Davis has zero talent comparatively
    When Vin retired, my 20 year old son said: "I can't imagine the Dodgers without Vin Scully, I've been listening to him my whole life!" Every time we watch a game now, he starts ranting about how much he hates Joe Davis. Every Dodger fan feels the same way.

  6. #866
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jayjami View Post
    When Vin retired, my 20 year old son said: "I can't imagine the Dodgers without Vin Scully, I've been listening to him my whole life!" Every time we watch a game now, he starts ranting about how much he hates Joe Davis. Every Dodger fan feels the same way.

    Love this

    Nearly 4 decades separate your son and I but we share the same childhood experience. How crazy is that? What a career

  7. #867
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Jayjami View Post
    When Vin retired, my 20 year old son said: "I can't imagine the Dodgers without Vin Scully, I've been listening to him my whole life!" Every time we watch a game now, he starts ranting about how much he hates Joe Davis. Every Dodger fan feels the same way.
    Love this

    Nearly 4 decades separate your son and I but we share the same childhood experience. How crazy is that? What a career
    My mom listened to Vin Scully in Brooklyn as a 4-year-old.

  8. #868
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Ohtani has been awful last 2 starts. 9 earned runs on 14 hits in only 8.1 innings. So he’s struggling but he’s still missing bats. Reds have 6th highest K% vs RHP last 3 weeks. Ohtani has higher K% at home vs road.

    Over 5.5K -135

    I’m making a sharp case for Ohtani. That’ll spin ya around.

    Reds Lodolo had a blister. Everyone knows. That gives ya sharp opportunity. Before he went out he was 7, 8 & 11. The 11 was courtesy of the Dodgers. Last 3 weeks while Lodolo was out Dodgers have 12th highest K% vs lefties.

    Over 4.5 +115

    Those are your Dodgers hate bets of the day. I am resisting replacing Kershaw with Ohtani but I’m put in an awkward position. Roki will be back. That’ll distract me

    The Ohtani call was great. He's dominating tonight, and his pitches are moving extremely well. This is his best outing by far, and he's already racked up 8K in 4 innings.

    Lodolo also has 5K after 3 innings and have no baserunners yet.

    Great analysis and results. Shoulda tailed.

  9. #869
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Here's a really weird stat.

    Coming into this series against the Dodgers, the Reds were 68-63.

    How many times had they been swept in a series? Zero.

    Crazy, right? How do you lose 63 of your first 131 games, and never get swept in a series?

    How many other teams have avoided being swept in 2025? Also zero.

    If the Dodgers can win tonight, they will finally end that streak for the Reds. But it shows that the Reds just have not had an extended period of being bad this year, which is why they've seemingly been hanging around a bit over .500 the entire way.

  10. #870
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Cade Horton has a decent shot at Rookie of the Year. He has a 4-start, 23 1/3 scoreless inning streak going. Unlike the AL, where Nick Kurtz is running away with it, there's no obvious ROY in the NL. Some say Drake Baldwin, but he hasn't hit a HR in 4 weeks, and doesn't even play every day, thanks to a crowded C/DH situation in Atlanta.

    I got +3500 on Bovada a few days ago. Last I saw it was +2800. Right now the whole bet is off the board, but it should be BACK.

    If you can get Horton at long odds, he's a great ROY bet. He's not a longshot anymore. Some books are so asleep on this one that he's not even listed yet.
    I posted the above on 8/6.

    Today, 3 weeks later, here are the DraftKings odds:

    Horton +150
    Collins +185
    Baldwin +210


    I hope at least some of you got in on this. +3500 was absurd at that point, with no clear favorite in the NL.

    I should have seeked out books which would take this action. All I could find of my existing books was Bovada, which let me have a whopping $35.71.

    Name:  horton-roy-bovada.png
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      Sanlmar: Free rolling now

  11. #871
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Red Sox release Walker Buehler to end $21 million debacle

    The Dodgers would be the absolute last place I’d go for used pitching. It’s like buying a used rent a car. You know it’s been abused and received the absolute minimal maintenance.

    No team this past decade has been more fraught with pitching health disaster than the Dodgers. Breaking pitchers is their super power. You want to partner with that?

    How broken down Buehler scraped enough muscle memory from his youth to drag the woeful Dodgers across the World Series finish line in the final game last year is an according to Hoyle miracle. Got him a ring and a bag o’ money. He didn’t deserve either.

  12. #872
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Red Sox release Walker Buehler to end $21 million debacle

    The Dodgers would be the absolute last place I’d go for used pitching. It’s like buying a used rent a car. You know it’s been abused and received the absolute minimal maintenance.

    No team this past decade has been more fraught with pitching health disaster than the Dodgers. Breaking pitchers is their super power. You want to partner with that?

    How broken down Buehler scraped enough muscle memory from his youth to drag the woeful Dodgers across the World Series finish line in the final game last year is an according to Hoyle miracle. Got him a ring and a bag o’ money. He didn’t deserve either.
    I actually agree with this. I could tell he didn't have it last year, and somehow he summoned the adrenaline to pitch well in the postseason and become somewhat of a World Series hero.

    He was already damaged goods before he threw a single pitch for the Dodgers. He survived one surgery and was really good for awhile, but two was just too much.

    At least the Sawks weren't dumb enough to give him more than a year. But yes, if the Dodgers are refusing to re-sign a beloved player with an injury history, that's a gigantic red flag.

    With that said, the Dodgers should still pick him up and see if he can do a repeat. They can get him virtually free (paying just the pro-rated minimum). If he's awful, they can say sayonara, but it's low risk, and the fans will love it if it works out.

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    Cade Horton pitched okay tonight at Coors Field. 5 innings, 2 ER, 4K. Bad opponent but tough place to pitch.

    I don't think it moves the needle either way for ROY.

    Baldwin has an OPS under .600 in the past 3 weeks, and Collins hasn't been much better. Collins only has 8 HR overall, so it might be tough to award him ROY if he pulls up with a .270-ish average and limited power.

    I think it's Horton's to lose. I've also learned a lesson from this. Next time I really like a 35-to-1 bet and can't get action easily, I need to reach out to people and ask them to place the damn bet for me, in exchange for a small freeroll.

  14. #874
    Silver David USF's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Interesting fact on the Dodgers broadcast today.

    76 years ago, August 26, 1949, the Dodgers were at home playing the Reds, just like they are today.

    Ownership decided to try a new technological gimmick. They broadcasted the game on a new fad called "television". There were only 500 televisions in the NYC area at the time, so hardly anyone watched.

    That was the first televised MLB game ever.

    Vin Scully did not broadcast that game. He would start working for the Dodgers 8 months later, in April 1950.
    The first televised MLB game was in 1939, not '49.

    https://www.history.com/this-day-in-...-baseball-game

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    Plutonium simpdog's Avatar
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    Hoffman is becoming a huge issue

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    Quote Originally Posted by David USF View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Interesting fact on the Dodgers broadcast today.

    76 years ago, August 26, 1949, the Dodgers were at home playing the Reds, just like they are today.

    Ownership decided to try a new technological gimmick. They broadcasted the game on a new fad called "television". There were only 500 televisions in the NYC area at the time, so hardly anyone watched.

    That was the first televised MLB game ever.

    Vin Scully did not broadcast that game. He would start working for the Dodgers 8 months later, in April 1950.
    The first televised MLB game was in 1939, not '49.

    https://www.history.com/this-day-in-...-baseball-game
    Blame the Dodgers announcers. They said it was 76 years ago. They must be bad at math.

    I'm actually very surprised by this, because I didn't know television existed at all in 1939. In fact, if you asked me to guess, I would have said that the first televisions were appearing in the homes of consumers would have been something like 1947.

    In all depictions I've seen of 1940s culture, families had a radio, not a television, and that includes the late 40s.

    I can ask my mom (who is from Brooklyn) when she got her first TV. Maybe she remembers, but she would've been a little kid. Her family didn't have much money, though, so they might have not had one until well into the 50s.

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    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Hoffman is becoming a huge issue
    I had him on my fantasy team when he was in the NL. (I'm in an NL-only league.) I got him cheap and was disappointed when he went to Toronto.

    He had two great years in Philly from 2023-4, but sucked from 2016-22. You can't blame Colorado, because he wasn't much better in Cinicnnati.

    I never saw him as a reliable closer type. More of a fringe guy who had two good years, and could fall back into being shitty at any point. Many middle relievers suddenly have 1-2 good years where they're very effective. The trick is to grab them while they're hot and not spend much on them, while always having a backup plan. Spending a lot of money on relievers is a huge waste, unless you have a truly elite one such as Mariano Rivera.

  18. #878
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by simpdog View Post
    Hoffman is becoming a huge issue
    I ran an autopsy following my Jays loss in the first game of the series.

    Jays bullpen is ranked dead last in MLB last 30 days for “expected runs per plate appearance”. 30th!

    We’ve notified your next of kin Simpdog.

  19. #879
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Dustin May living in a post Mark Prior world has 13 strikeouts last 2 games. This is so stealthy and inside baseball

    +140 Sawks vs Yankees Sunday Night Baseball

    Druff will confirm. Gingergaard
    Let's not get too excited yet. May had small stretches of brilliance for the Dodgers, too, but then ended up either getting hurt or giving up a million runs.

    I'll need to see more data.
    Another ex Dodger starter soiling himself.

    I was uncharacteristically optimistic and I was wrong.

    Sawks have a shot at first in AL East. Still young and sorting things out. May is a bullpen piece at best.

     
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      Dan Druff: admitting irrational exuberance

  20. #880
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Dodgers pretty good at not trading away starters with high potential to be good.

    If the Dodgers offer you a once-promising starter, or if they don’t re-sign him for moderate money, run far away.

    They’re bad at pitching free agents, but good at practicing avoidance with their own pitchers.

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