Official Presidential Polling and Odds thread

[mickeycrimm]

BOOM! HEADSHOT!


Sunday, October 27
Montana: Trump vs. Harris The Hill/Emerson
Trump 58, Harris 39

Trump +19

Same poll shows Tim Sheehy up by only +4. What the Fuck is wrong with 15% of the people willing to vote for Trump but then a Dem Senator? This race controls the Senate, crazy!

Tester just dropped an October surprise on Sheehy. Sheehy is a former navy seal, war veteran, and Purple Heart recipient. His resume is strong enough to take the veteran vote away from Tester. But a film bite has just been released showing Sheehy saying the bullet is still in his arm from Afghanistan. There is evidence the bullet in his arm was actually from a hunting accident.

He had an 8 point lead but now it’s down to 4.

[mickeycrimm]

Wonder if that drop box is in a primarily democrat or republican area, are there any republican areas in Portland?

The boxes are in republican leaning districts.

[tgull]

This should go over well:

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https://twitter.com/EricLDaugh/status/1851414652577562950

[VaughnP]

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https://twitter.com/CollinRugg/status/1851393891632607574

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https://twitter.com/CollinRugg/status/1851397608331223084

[VaughnP]

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https://twitter.com/kellyannelu/status/1851358934352720106

Completely kosher. Randomly changing voting cutoff times, surrounding the lines with fake Dem operatives pretending to be badged officials and making sure you get your form geared to convince you to vote by mail instead - This is actual voter intimidation and suppression. ROFL

[VaughnP]

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https://twitter.com/harrytiffanyiv/status/1851032654675665140

[VaughnP]

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https://twitter.com/MJTruthUltra/status/1851408978544132410

Come up with an explanation for this? Those postal tubs hold a ridiculous amount of letters - at least a few hundred.

[1dollarboxcar]

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https://twitter.com/MJTruthUltra/status/1851408978544132410

Come up with an explanation for this? Those postal tubs hold a ridiculous amount of letters - at least a few hundred.

free and fair elections... the fix is and always has been in....

[tgull]

The CNN poll for WI is certainly an outlier. They had Biden winning WI in 2020 by 8 and won by .07. If MSM pollsters corrected their 2016 and 2020 anti-Trump bias then this will be very close. If its the same old trash, Trump will win in a landslide. We'll know in a few days.


Wednesday, October 30
Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Harris Quinnipiac
Trump 49, Harris 47

Trump +2

Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Harris Susquehanna
Trump 46, Harris 46

Tie

Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Harris CNN*
Trump 48, Harris 48

Tie

Wisconsin: Trump vs. Harris Marquette
Harris 50, Trump 49

Harris +1

Wisconsin: Trump vs. Harris CNN*
Harris 51, Trump 45

Harris +6

Michigan: Trump vs. Harris USA Today/Suffolk
Harris 47, Trump 47

Tie

[tgull]

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https://twitter.com/RedEaglePatriot/status/1851687791765103034

[tgull]

Very Odd to see the Dems this late in the game in NH. Very odd.

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https://twitter.com/MRBartlettNH/status/1851690135689052298

[Daly]

I have a confession to make.

I just bet Harris at +180.

I hope to take the L here and I do honestly expect too. I just don't think its a slam dunk like some seem to think. Its not 50/50 but it aint 67/33 either.

This is the Daly that posts in the FFAWT, not the political one. I cant ignore the facts.

[Daly]

I have a confession to make.

I just bet Harris at +180.

I hope to take the L here and I do honestly expect too. I just don't think its a slam dunk like some seem to think. Its not 50/50 but it aint 67/33 either.

This is the Daly that posts in the FFAWT, not the political one. I cant ignore the facts.

What a fucking idiot

(This is political Daly)

[sonatine]

I have a confession to make.

I just bet Harris at +180.

I hope to take the L here and I do honestly expect too. I just don't think its a slam dunk like some seem to think. Its not 50/50 but it aint 67/33 either.

This is the Daly that posts in the FFAWT, not the political one. I cant ignore the facts.

What a fucking idiot

(This is political Daly)

bro martin shkreli is banging harris lines on polymarket. youre in good company on this play regardless of politics.

[tgull]

Very Odd to see the Dems this late in the game in NH. Very odd.

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https://twitter.com/MRBartlettNH/status/1851690135689052298

Well this makes sense now. If Trump bags NH its going to be an early night.


New Hampshire: Trump vs. Harris
Rasmussen Reports
Harris 48, Trump 47
Harris
+1

[tgull]

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https://twitter.com/PollTracker2024/status/1851746777512174076

[BetCheckBet]

Forget about betting on Trump. TMTG stock gonna go up 400% if he wins (all time high). Better return for sure on money assuming he wins.

Ftr trump stock hit 60 yesterday 300 percent increase from my post October 7th when it was 16 bucks. Media talking about it tanking today but it still at 40 bucks.

[Daly]

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https://twitter.com/PollTracker2024/status/1851746777512174076

For the record its these results that caused me to jump on the dark side. A week ago it was Trump +2 - +3 across the blue wall. Now its a coin flip. It may not sound like a big difference but the election is very likely down to these 3 states baring any surprises.

[tgull]

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https://twitter.com/PollTracker2024/status/1851746777512174076

For the record its these results that caused me to jump on the dark side. A week ago it was Trump +2 - +3 across the blue wall. Now its a coin flip. It may not sound like a big difference but the election is very likely down to these 3 states baring any surprises.

Not sure what polls you were looking at. Trump on the averages has never been up 2-3 points in the Blue Wall states. Not saying there was not an outlier here or there, but most outliers have been for Harris. Last month Quinnipiac had Harris up by 5. Now its Trump by 2. The only poll I have seen where Trump is the 2-3 range has been Arizona.

[tgull]

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https://twitter.com/EricLDaugh/status/1851747754055270878