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Thread: Official Presidential Polling and Odds thread

  1. #741
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    BOOM! HEADSHOT!


    Sunday, October 27
    Montana: Trump vs. Harris The Hill/Emerson
    Trump 58, Harris 39

    Trump +19

  2. #742
    Plutonium lol wow's Avatar
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    dude why are you so eager to believe this they will cheat in arizona he has 0 chance

     
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      1dollarboxcar: not the only place they are going to cheat either....

  3. #743
    Platinum 1dollarboxcar's Avatar
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    in a fair election DJT wins by a landslide, i wouldn't say he won by a landslide in 2020 but he won probably somewhat comfortably, if you think this is only place they are trying to do this you got a another thing coming... it has only just begun and they will get away with murder again... the election will be rigged by mail in ballots, the rigged voting machines and probably 1 or 2 more things that we haven't seen yet ( hearing rumors about foreign ballots from over seas showing up )... seen a clip on twitter/X where a CNN election correspondent was going over the real possibility of DJT winning the popular vote.... BUT still very possible he still loses the Electoral College...LOL... anyways no way in hell they let DJT win, the fix is in...





  4. #744
    Diamond mulva's Avatar
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    this election isn't going to be close enough for the dems to cheat.

    i feel like the most/all the swing states are AA tranches that will fall.

    undecided on loading up on trumpy taking penn or just winning outright
    Quote Originally Posted by bottomset_69 View Post
    Johnny Manziel will be the 1st pick in the draft. I truly believe not only will Johnny Manziel be rookie of the year, quite possibly he will be MVP as his style will shock defensive coordinators. Manziel may only be 6 feet tall, but he has size 15 feet. And he has HUGE hands. I know some NFL scouts so I know what I am talking about.



  5. #745
    Gold The Boz's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    BOOM! HEADSHOT!


    Sunday, October 27
    Montana: Trump vs. Harris The Hill/Emerson
    Trump 58, Harris 39

    Trump +19
    Same poll shows Tim Sheehy up by only +4. What the Fuck is wrong with 15% of the people willing to vote for Trump but then a Dem Senator? This race controls the Senate, crazy!

  6. #746
    Platinum 1dollarboxcar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by mulva View Post
    this election isn't going to be close enough for the dems to cheat.

    i feel like the most/all the swing states are AA tranches that will fall.

    undecided on loading up on trumpy taking penn or just winning outright
    as much as i want Trump to win and really the whole world needs him to win... it doesn't take much to screw with them voting machines... or better yet submit a fraudulent thumb drive after "downloading" the results from said voting machines/ having the results predetermined in fraudulent thumb drives... no way in hell do they let Trump win...

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  8. #748
    Platinum 1dollarboxcar's Avatar
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    funny i mentioned that the whole world wants/needs a Trump win...

    https://twitter.com/atensnut/status/1850559478300549588

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    Gold VaughnP's Avatar
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    Name:  26D15BF3-F68D-4363-9755-80969E63062C.png
Views: 200
Size:  523.8 KB

    2 to 1 reached. I still maintain that we will see a couple days of 3 or 4 to 1 across all markets before the election.

  11. #751
    Platinum Jayjami's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by 1dollarboxcar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by mulva View Post
    this election isn't going to be close enough for the dems to cheat.

    i feel like the most/all the swing states are AA tranches that will fall.

    undecided on loading up on trumpy taking penn or just winning outright
    as much as i want Trump to win and really the whole world needs him to win... it doesn't take much to screw with them voting machines... or better yet submit a fraudulent thumb drive after "downloading" the results from said voting machines/ having the results predetermined in fraudulent thumb drives... no way in hell do they let Trump win...
    It’s so funny that you Republicans are too stupid to catch us. You tried over 50 times in the last election and got your asses kicked in every court. BTW, where’s Rudy these days?

  12. #752
    Platinum mickeycrimm's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Boz View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    BOOM! HEADSHOT!


    Sunday, October 27
    Montana: Trump vs. Harris The Hill/Emerson
    Trump 58, Harris 39

    Trump +19
    Same poll shows Tim Sheehy up by only +4. What the Fuck is wrong with 15% of the people willing to vote for Trump but then a Dem Senator? This race controls the Senate, crazy!
    Montana is loaded with veterans that Tester has bought and paid for. But I’m confident Tester gets beat this time.

     
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      country978: i miss you on the forum mickey - the slot thread was great and I hope youll update it again soon
    POKER FAG ALERT! FOR BLOW JOBS SEE SLOPPY JOE, SONATINE AND BCR.

  13. #753
    Platinum 1dollarboxcar's Avatar
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    @Jayjami says
    It’s so funny that you Republicans are too stupid to catch us. You tried over 50 times in the last election and got your asses kicked in every court. BTW, where’s Rudy these days?
    it's kind of funny that the corrupt Democrat Judges wouldn't even let the cases proceed so evidence could be heard... they all kicked the cases because of "standing"... should the roles be reversed this election and Scamala wants to challenge the election... i would bet all her cases would NOW have "standing".... the fix is/was in....

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    Platinum 1dollarboxcar's Avatar
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    Wonder if that drop box is in a primarily democrat or republican area, are there any republican areas in Portland?

     
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      1dollarboxcar: looks like a decent neighborhood, with white cops, i would guess it's a republican area... if it was a democrat area... they would be screaming bloody murder...

  16. #756
    Gold VaughnP's Avatar
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    https://twitter.com/EricLDaugh/status/1851058001156907354

    12.9% increase from 2020. Maybe Trump winning the popular vote is closer to a coin flip.

  17. #757
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by VaughnP View Post
    https://twitter.com/EricLDaugh/status/1851058001156907354

    12.9% increase from 2020. Maybe Trump winning the popular vote is closer to a coin flip.

    For what its worth the Trump and Harris adds seem way way down the past week plus down here in Americas Penis. Im sure Harris has bigger fish to fry in the rust belt.

    The big ad buys seem to be on the constitutional questions for Weed and Abortion. Both of which are non stop.

  18. #758
    Diamond Tellafriend's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by VaughnP View Post
    https://twitter.com/EricLDaugh/status/1851058001156907354

    12.9% increase from 2020. Maybe Trump winning the popular vote is closer to a coin flip.

    For what its worth the Trump and Harris adds seem way way down the past week plus down here in Americas Penis. Im sure Harris has bigger fish to fry in the rust belt.

    The big ad buys seem to be on the constitutional questions for Weed and Abortion. Both of which are non stop.

    what do you make of how off the betting markets were 2+ or so months ago ?

  19. #759
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tellafriend View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post


    For what its worth the Trump and Harris adds seem way way down the past week plus down here in Americas Penis. Im sure Harris has bigger fish to fry in the rust belt.

    The big ad buys seem to be on the constitutional questions for Weed and Abortion. Both of which are non stop.

    what do you make of how off the betting markets were 2+ or so months ago ?

    I don't think they were “off”. It’s obviously a heavily watched process by millions of active, and informed (to different degrees) voters.

    When Biden shit himself at the first debate that caused a major move, and deservingly so.

    When they swapped her out it was a major event and the masses thought she had a better chance than Biden and the markets adjusted. There is an inherent numbers advantage electing a democrat for president….. unless said candidate is of poor quality. So the numbers adjusted.

    The masses, Id argue, are seeing the candidate is of poor quality. Well the markets adjusted again.

    That all being said we have moved from the speculative phase to more of a information driven phase. Take the timing of the national anthem bet at the super bowl. At the onset the performer is announced and based on speculation money is bet. Then research happens and other factors are considered and the numbers flux based on information on prior performances, who is performing with them, what instruments….. until the ultimate data point, the practice run. At that point its more of a forgone conclusion. Right now we have actual results and not just polling.

    Took this in slightly different direction than what you asked and it’s all obvious…. But I view this as just markets reacting to data. Could have broke the other way.

     
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      Tellafriend: informed per usual

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    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    𝐅𝐢𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐀𝐭𝐥𝐚𝐬𝐈𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐥 𝐩𝐨𝐥𝐥𝐬: 🔴 𝐀𝐙: 𝐓𝐫𝐮𝐦𝐩+4.2 | 🔴 𝐆𝐀: 𝐓𝐫𝐮𝐦𝐩+3.1 | 🔴 𝐏𝐀: 𝐓𝐫𝐮𝐦𝐩+2.1 | 🔴 𝐌𝐈: 𝐓𝐫𝐮𝐦𝐩+1.3 | 🔴 𝐍𝐕: 𝐓𝐫𝐮𝐦𝐩+0.9 | 🔴 𝐖𝐈: 𝐓𝐫𝐮𝐦𝐩+0.6 | 🔵 𝐍𝐂: 𝐇𝐚𝐫𝐫𝐢𝐬+0.1 | 𝐀𝐭𝐥𝐚𝐬𝐈𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐥 | 𝟏𝟎/𝟐𝟓-𝟐𝟗 | 𝐋𝐕𝐬

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