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Thread: Official Presidential Polling and Odds thread

  1. #601
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    These are just awful national polls for the Kamala.

    National: Trump vs. Harris Emerson
    Harris 50, Trump 49

    Harris +1

    National: Trump vs. Harris HarrisX
    Harris 51, Trump 49

    Harris +2

    National: Trump vs. Harris TIPP
    Harris 49, Trump 47

    Harris +2

  2. #602
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    I vote for her and I am going to hearing shit about reparations and other assorted Cal Dem shit that I just can't.
    and thats how we ended up with a 7-2 republican supreme court for the rest of our literal lives.
    Well it doesn’t help that I saw her giving an interview playing that reparations nonsense to try to win back black voters right before I made my post. No one black is buying that shit any more anyway, and it drives angry poor whites away. Type of shit that got Dems in this spot.

     
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      Tellafriend: it drives angry poor whites away

  3. #603
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    Just saw Trump for nearly 40 minutes on Fox and Friends this morning. This whole notion his has suffered mental decay is just laughable. He was 100% cogent, this was after doing the Al Smith deal last night. Let's face it, at age 78 he is light years ahead of Harris intellectually, for the main reason she is dumber than a sack of fucking hammers.

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    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post

    and thats how we ended up with a 7-2 republican supreme court for the rest of our literal lives.
    Well it doesn’t help that I saw her giving an interview playing that reparations nonsense to try to win back black voters right before I made my post. No one black is buying that shit any more anyway, and it drives angry poor whites away. Type of shit that got Dems in this spot.
    You live in Ohio, correct? So your non-vote does not matter, its 100% Trump whether you vote or not. Just know you are one of like about 1000 white guys nationwide siding with a woman who had a multi year sexual affair at age 29 with someone married in their 60s. I am repeating myself but keep your mouth shut on the golf course if you ever want to get a foursome again at your club. Of course you can move to north Jersey I would assume, to feel more in tune with your inner feelings.

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    Platinum Jayjami's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    Why does every fucking country on this planet forbid illegal immigration except the US?
    Because it keeps the cost of labor down. That’s why Republicans love illegal immigration. Someone has to work to support poor white people’s fentanyl addictions.

  6. #606
    Gold The Boz's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post

    Well it doesn’t help that I saw her giving an interview playing that reparations nonsense to try to win back black voters right before I made my post. No one black is buying that shit any more anyway, and it drives angry poor whites away. Type of shit that got Dems in this spot.
    You live in Ohio, correct? So your non-vote does not matter, its 100% Trump whether you vote or not. Just know you are one of like about 1000 white guys nationwide siding with a woman who had a multi year sexual affair at age 29 with someone married in their 60s. I am repeating myself but keep your mouth shut on the golf course if you ever want to get a foursome again at your club. Of course you can move to north Jersey I would assume, to feel more in tune with your inner feelings.
    Would love to see Bernie win that Senate seat for a bigger majority, and to send the liberal POS Brown home for good.

  7. #607
    Plutonium sonatine's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by sonatine View Post

    and thats how we ended up with a 7-2 republican supreme court for the rest of our literal lives.
    Well it doesn’t help that I saw her giving an interview playing that reparations nonsense to try to win back black voters right before I made my post. No one black is buying that shit any more anyway, and it drives angry poor whites away. Type of shit that got Dems in this spot.

    make no mistake; i hear you.
    "Birds born in a cage think flying is an illness." - Alejandro Jodorowsky

    "America is not so much a nightmare as a non-dream. The American non-dream is precisely a move to wipe the dream out of existence. The dream is a spontaneous happening and therefore dangerous to a control system set up by the non-dreamers." -- William S. Burroughs

  8. #608
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post

    Well it doesn’t help that I saw her giving an interview playing that reparations nonsense to try to win back black voters right before I made my post. No one black is buying that shit any more anyway, and it drives angry poor whites away. Type of shit that got Dems in this spot.
    You live in Ohio, correct? So your non-vote does not matter, its 100% Trump whether you vote or not. Just know you are one of like about 1000 white guys nationwide siding with a woman who had a multi year sexual affair at age 29 with someone married in their 60s. I am repeating myself but keep your mouth shut on the golf course if you ever want to get a foursome again at your club. Of course you can move to north Jersey I would assume, to feel more in tune with your inner feelings.
    I was replying to a post about the popular vote. Man TDS afflicts both sides and I’m starting to worry about you. You are worshipping some 80 year old trust fund baby who dyes his hair an off urine color and has so much face bronzer on he’s now the darkest person in this race.Really step back and think about how you ended up being a fan boy at 50? You are starting to remind me of one of those teenage girls with the boy bands.

    You know the hard core MAGA people around here wear hats and shoes from Walmart or are fat bikers? That’s who would care who I vote for. I have friends who have always been GOP and can tolerate him. The notion that I concern myself with what those Walmart MAGA people thinks is simply amusing.

  9. #609
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post

    You live in Ohio, correct? So your non-vote does not matter, its 100% Trump whether you vote or not. Just know you are one of like about 1000 white guys nationwide siding with a woman who had a multi year sexual affair at age 29 with someone married in their 60s. I am repeating myself but keep your mouth shut on the golf course if you ever want to get a foursome again at your club. Of course you can move to north Jersey I would assume, to feel more in tune with your inner feelings.
    I was replying to a post about the popular vote. Man TDS afflicts both sides and I’m starting to worry about you. You are worshipping some 80 year old trust fund baby who dyes his hair an off urine color and has so much face bronzer on he’s now the darkest person in this race.Really step back and think about how you ended up being a fan boy at 50? You are starting to remind me of one of those teenage girls with the boy bands.

    You know the hard core MAGA people around here wear hats and shoes from Walmart or are fat bikers? That’s who would care who I vote for. I have friends who have always been GOP and can tolerate him. The notion that I concern myself with what those Walmart MAGA people thinks is simply amusing.
    I would never be seen in a Wal Mart, or a Target unless I needed to run in for an emergency item for say my son, when a cleat on his baseball shoe fell off so you make an exception. I am not making fun of Druff, but I am not shopping for meat or vegetable products in those stores. As far as worshiping at 78 year old billionaire, well its a binary choice. He made a shit load of money, lost a ton as well. Her record is she slept her way to the top, and when kicked to the curb by Willie, married a rich entertainment white lawyer. Given a binary choice, I choose the rich white guy, you choose the black asain. Ok, our votes count the same.

  10. #610
    Gold VaughnP's Avatar
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    https://twitter.com/TimMurtaugh/status/1847285213681832131

    More and more signals that it's not just over, she's actually hurting the down ballot races everywhere.

  11. #611
    All Sorts of Sports gut's Avatar
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    I am really struggling to see any paths towards a Kamala victory here.

    What's her base? The unions are gone. Mixed-race woman so cancel out any "middle-america female"....I just don't see anything there except the "liberal elite" and the rich neocons....who might as well be the same fucking thing now.

    Not saying this is gonna be 1984 or anything, but I really think Trump is just gonna roll here.

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  13. #613
    Platinum Jayjami's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    I would never be seen in a Wal Mart, or a Target.
    Is staying away from those stores a condition of your parole or something?

     
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      BetCheckBet:

  14. #614
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jayjami View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    I would never be seen in a Wal Mart, or a Target.
    Is staying away from those stores a condition of your parole or something?
    It comes down to social engineering. I would just rather pay a little more at a more respectable place, than go into a Wal Mart. I don't demean anyone going into a place they need to go due to affordability. Given my resources, I would just rather pay 10-20% more for the life/comfort fabric, but hey that is just me. Standing behind someone sorting coupons is just not my thing, but given the convenience factor sometimes I tough it up and walk into a Target, but its a rare occurrence. And never for fresh food, ever. I'll just pay the 25% vig at Fresh Market, but here again that is just me.

  15. #615
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    BREAKING: North Carolina Republicans WON the second day of North Carolina early voting! If this keeps up, Trump wins NC by 5+ points.

     
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      The Boz: I feel this is happening in GA too but all CNN shows is boons voting.

  16. #616
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      The Boz: MSNBC is openly in panic mode at this point degrading anyone voting for Trump daily

  17. #617
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    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Jayjami View Post
    Is staying away from those stores a condition of your parole or something?
    It comes down to social engineering. I would just rather pay a little more at a more respectable place, than go into a Wal Mart. I don't demean anyone going into a place they need to go due to affordability. Given my resources, I would just rather pay 10-20% more for the life/comfort fabric, but hey that is just me. Standing behind someone sorting coupons is just not my thing, but given the convenience factor sometimes I tough it up and walk into a Target, but its a rare occurrence. And never for fresh food, ever. I'll just pay the 25% vig at Fresh Market, but here again that is just me.
    Your money, your choice but damn that’s stupid financially.

  18. #618
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    Seriously, any white male over the age of 25 would vote for this? Really? Ok, I guess.


    https://twitter.com/trumpwarroom/status/1847711187930128598

  19. #619
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  20. #620
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    So ALL the betting markets are wrong? All of them? I mean ALL OF THEM?

    Betting Odds
    Trump Harris

    RCP Average 57.8 40.9
    BetOnline 59 40
    Betfair 55 39
    Betsson 58 44
    Bovada 60 40
    Bwin 60 42
    Points Bet 58 43
    Polymarket 57 38
    Smarkets 55 41

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