Key things to remember, Biden was polling roughly 7 points ahead in Wisconsin and only ended up winning by a little more than .5 a point.

In my opinion, Kamala is likely actually slightly behind there as well.





Another state that is not getting any attention yet is Virginia. Trump was polling ahead of her and Biden there after the assassination attempt and convention, but there hasn't been any polling done since. He can win without Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan, or Nevada if he wins Virginia. It will be interesting to see new polls. He honestly should have picked Youngkin. He flipped the gubernatorial race with a turnout as high as the 2020 election. He literally got 40% more votes than the 2017 candidate.