Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
Just placed the max on Trump on Bovada ($1500 to win $250).

I hate making -600 bets because the return is so little, but he's 20 points ahead in the average polls, and the primary is 5 days away.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epo...lls/president/

If he somehow shits the bed and loses the primary in SC... well, the $1500 won't wreck me anyway.
I don't understand this bet. Betting in a consistent winning fashion isn't about picking the winner but finding mistakes and exploiting the resulting value.

IAPT would not approve.
What don't you understand?

I would be absolutely shocked if Trump loses. Like, beyond -600 shocked. I'm talking -2000 or higher shocked. He has been crushing in SC the whole way, and I don't see that changing in the next 5 days.

If you think I'm simply betting it because I believe Trump has the best chance to win, you don't understand why I bet it.