*** Official NFL/ NCAA Betting Discussion Thread

[BCR]

[QUOTE=BCR;192489]

Added Chiefs 2nd half -.5 even W
2nd half Texans -6 -120 W

adding SF +3 L

6-9 NFL 14-6 ncaa


You can't bet against an entire team and fanbase that's popping Adderall like candy. What was I thinking?

:self-knife


Honestly, that whole stadium is like a meth induced frenzy. It's always been a great crowd, but it's borderline absurd now. When you have to turn your television volume down because it's too loud, that's a real crowd. Great game by the Seahawks. The lateral speed on both defenses is insane. Two best teams in the NFL right now, and I wouldn't want to go into that place come playoff time.

[chinamaniac]

[QUOTE=BCR;192572]

adding SF +3 L

6-9 NFL 14-6 ncaa


You can't bet against an entire team and fanbase that's popping Adderall like candy. What was I thinking?

:self-knife


Honestly, that whole stadium is like a meth induced frenzy. It's always been a great crowd, but it's borderline absurd now. When you have to turn your television volume down because it's too loud, that's a real crowd. Great game by the Seahawks. The lateral speed on both defenses is insane. Two best teams in the NFL right now, and I wouldn't want to go into that place come playoff time.

I'm sold on the Seahawks 100 %. And your correct with their speed. Haven't seen anything like that since the Ravens team that was dominant 10 years ago on defense.

Sf D is sick but I'm not sold on them being one of the best 2 teams just yet. Defense is good, running game is good but they better find some playmakers on offense. They lost Davis last night, Crabtree is out and I don't think Boldin and the other sleu of unknowns can carry them but we will see moving forward.

[chinamaniac]

brutal weekend for me on NFL bets. im going to stick to MLB until I can figure out an advantage in NFL. most games down to the wire, few points to win, how the hell do you bet that? I am thinking of more of a statistical across the board model. I don't really have time for that though.

Keep it simple, Bet on Denver and over and fade Jax every week. 6-0 so far and will prob be a very +ev prop moving forward no matter how big the lines get

[simpdog]

brutal weekend for me on NFL bets. im going to stick to MLB until I can figure out an advantage in NFL. most games down to the wire, few points to win, how the hell do you bet that? I am thinking of more of a statistical across the board model. I don't really have time for that though.

Keep it simple, Bet on Denver and over and fade Jax every week. 6-0 so far and will prob be a very +ev prop moving forward no matter how big the lines get

IMO add Philly games over too. If they keep up their pace they will keep putting up points and their defense will keep giving up points.

[ShadyJ]

brutal weekend for me on NFL bets. im going to stick to MLB until I can figure out an advantage in NFL. most games down to the wire, few points to win, how the hell do you bet that? I am thinking of more of a statistical across the board model. I don't really have time for that though.

Keep it simple, Bet on Denver and over and fade Jax every week. 6-0 so far and will prob be a very +ev prop moving forward no matter how big the lines get

I saw a post from a service that said if Oakland cant beat Jacksonville at home then whatever, and Im like hes right sure its 4.5 but basically they just need to beat the worst team in football. I agree fading jacksonville might win every week they are just that bad.

[Sanlmar]

Keep it simple, Bet on Denver and over and fade Jax every week. 6-0 so far and will prob be a very +ev prop moving forward no matter how big the lines get

I saw a post from a service that said if Oakland cant beat Jacksonville at home then whatever, and Im like hes right sure its 4.5 but basically they just need to beat the worst team in football. I agree fading jacksonville might win every week they are just that bad.

You are apparently paying for several tout services and do your reading. You sound pretty jacked up.

Game selection in poker is everything - especially heads up. One of the biggest points of emphasis China made in his guest host HOF radio show many moons ago. By the way, I am rooting for a BNP, China, Ryland triple threat offense as guest hosts. Csonka & Kick backfield with Ryland running the option.

Anyway, Shady are you betting everything that moves? Lets filter, some of this and call out those special opportunities.

My two cents.

[chinamaniac]

Under 44 Chargers Titans
Under 44.5 Atl Mia
Under 46 SF Colts
Under 41 Sea Jax

Pats -1 Saints -2 (2 team tease)

Cowboys -4.5 (action points)
Saints -8 (action points)
Sea -20 (action points)
Den -15.5 (action points)

Clemson -13 (action points)
Over 68 Fresno Boise
Fresno -3
Usc -6.5
Baylor -28 (action points)
Over 79 Texas A&M SMU
Under 52 Bama CSU

[DirtyB]

Sea -20 (action points)

I just read that this is the largest spread for an NFL game in 20 years. Seattle looked really good on Sunday and Jacksonville is not only a bad team, but a bad team on their second string QB.

That 16-0 season when the Patriots were running up the score on everyone, did they really never break 20 points?

[Brittney Griner's Clit]

Under 44 Chargers Titans
Under 44.5 Atl Mia
Under 46 SF Colts
Under 41 Sea Jax

Pats -1 Saints -2 (2 team tease)

Cowboys -4.5 (action points)
Saints -8 (action points)
Sea -20 (action points)
Den -15.5 (action points)

Clemson -13 (action points)
Over 68 Fresno Boise
Fresno -3
Usc -6.5
Baylor -28 (action points)
Over 79 Texas A&M SMU
Under 52 Bama CSU

What book do you use for action points? What is the cap on action points?

[tony bagadonuts]

[QUOTE=BCR;192572]

adding SF +3 L

6-9 NFL 14-6 ncaa


You can't bet against an entire team and fanbase that's popping Adderall like candy. What was I thinking?

:self-knife


Honestly, that whole stadium is like a meth induced frenzy. It's always been a great crowd, but it's borderline absurd now. When you have to turn your television volume down because it's too loud, that's a real crowd. Great game by the Seahawks. The lateral speed on both defenses is insane. Two best teams in the NFL right now, and I wouldn't want to go into that place come playoff time.

I don't know what you're talking about friend.



This is why we like it just fine up in business class.

[chinamaniac]

Under 44 Chargers Titans
Under 44.5 Atl Mia
Under 46 SF Colts
Under 41 Sea Jax

Pats -1 Saints -2 (2 team tease)

Cowboys -4.5 (action points)
Saints -8 (action points)
Sea -20 (action points)
Den -15.5 (action points)

Clemson -13 (action points)
Over 68 Fresno Boise
Fresno -3
Usc -6.5
Baylor -28 (action points)
Over 79 Texas A&M SMU
Under 52 Bama CSU

What book do you use for action points? What is the cap on action points?

Some off shore books will take them. Last offshore book I booked them with was thegreek. You set your own cap. I'm using a local now and I'm not capping any of them although u can cap them at whatever you like. Some books will cap u @ 10 max points either way. Some will let you set the cap. With locals if you don't give them a cap there is no cap

[chinamaniac]

Sea -20 (action points)

I just read that this is the largest spread for an NFL game in 20 years. Seattle looked really good on Sunday and Jacksonville is not only a bad team, but a bad team on their second string QB.

That 16-0 season when the Patriots were running up the score on everyone, did they really never break 20 points?

http://content.usatoday.com/communit...1#.Ujf7EMbry1k

http://sports.espn.go.com/nfl/news/story?id=3120882

[Brittney Griner's Clit]

What book do you use for action points? What is the cap on action points?

Some off shore books will take them. Last offshore book I booked them with was thegreek. You set your own cap. I'm using a local now and I'm not capping any of them although u can cap them at whatever you like. Some books will cap u @ 10 max points either way. Some will let you set the cap. With locals if you don't give them a cap there is no cap

What's the most points you ever crushed a spread by or got crushed betting this way?

[chinamaniac]

Some off shore books will take them. Last offshore book I booked them with was thegreek. You set your own cap. I'm using a local now and I'm not capping any of them although u can cap them at whatever you like. Some books will cap u @ 10 max points either way. Some will let you set the cap. With locals if you don't give them a cap there is no cap

What's the most points you ever crushed a spread by or got crushed betting this way?

here is the biggest win, line was 10 vicks freshman year

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/foo...use_vatech_ap/

What's funny about this article is it mentions Texas ranked 11 losing to unranked UCLA 2 years earlier 66-3. I wonder what that line was?




Not sure about losses but has to be 40 ish

[varys]

early teasers



Team:

Sep 22 NFL [391] CHARGERS (SD) +9½-110 (B+6)
Sep 22 NFL [395] BUCCANEERS (TB) +13½-110 (B+6)
Risking 220.00 USD To Win 200.00

Sep 22 NFL [407] GIANTS (NYG) +7½-110 (B+6)
Sep 22 NFL [409] FALCONS (ATL) +7½-110 (B+6)
Risking 165.00 USD To Win 150.00 USD
Ticket#: 31819919

[varys]

Also, looks like the sharps got killed on sunday. I was watching Collins football show in the morning before the games started and other than seattle it seems like I was on the public side for every game except seattle, with my big wins being Denver and Atl. They were gushing over Eli's doubtless first win vs big brother. On the other hand a lot of sharp $ went in on Miami and SD when they opened at +9. Went 5-0 in NFL this weekend after getting crushed in week 1.

[ShadyJ]

I saw a post from a service that said if Oakland cant beat Jacksonville at home then whatever, and Im like hes right sure its 4.5 but basically they just need to beat the worst team in football. I agree fading jacksonville might win every week they are just that bad.

You are apparently paying for several tout services and do your reading. You sound pretty jacked up.

Game selection in poker is everything - especially heads up. One of the biggest points of emphasis China made in his guest host HOF radio show many moons ago. By the way, I am rooting for a BNP, China, Ryland triple threat offense as guest hosts. Csonka & Kick backfield with Ryland running the option.

Anyway, Shady are you betting everything that moves? Lets filter, some of this and call out those special opportunities.

My two cents.

Not sure what you mean. On Saturdays I play service plays that I know are good. Sundays I play my own plays, but Ill add games if good services are on them like Balt and Oakland. My big plays in NFL were Philly Atl Gb and Zona. Those just stood out to me. I mostly pushed on Atl although i did take them -6 when i heard the big 2 would play. I had another winning week, and not sure if that was directed at me but I havent paid 1 cent for any service plays.

[ShadyJ]

What's the most points you ever crushed a spread by or got crushed betting this way?

here is the biggest win, line was 10 vicks freshman year

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/foo...use_vatech_ap/

What's funny about this article is it mentions Texas ranked 11 losing to unranked UCLA 2 years earlier 66-3. I wonder what that line was?




Not sure about losses but has to be 40 ish

I remember having FSU vs VTech with Vick I think it was a bowl game, and Vick just destroyed them. FSU D was supposed to be the best and Vick looked liked like a man amongst boys.

[varys]

here is the biggest win, line was 10 vicks freshman year

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/foo...use_vatech_ap/

What's funny about this article is it mentions Texas ranked 11 losing to unranked UCLA 2 years earlier 66-3. I wonder what that line was?




Not sure about losses but has to be 40 ish

I remember having FSU vs VTech with Vick I think it was a bowl game, and Vick just destroyed them. FSU D was supposed to be the best and Vick looked liked like a man amongst boys.

you think it was a bowl game? it was the national championship. vick was awesome no doubt and probably my favorite player to watch in general but he still lost that game by almost 20.

[Daly]

Sorry guys - I'm taking the 20 and rolling with Jax.

5 times in the last quarter century the NFL has seen lines of 20+. The chalk went 1-4 and the one time it covered it was 1991 and the Bills covered by 2 points.

I sure as shit wouldn't action play Jax because the possibility of a blowout is obviously on the table here. But for a set price give me the 20 and lets see what happens.