The key to Utah is knowing when to over and when to under.
The key to Utah is knowing when to over and when to under.
Hockey guys, is a goal in first 4:59 +260 value? I can only bet $100 on it so no one can get hurt here. Winter classic 8pm
(Hopefully not)
Utah at Golden State - Over 244.5 -113
I went through the entire college basketball (Div 1) slate and took all the home dogs for $100 each*. Something like 30 plays. Have done this a few times to mixed results.
But today so far so good. Up $800. But a lot of plays to go so anything can happen.
FWIW I researched and apparently over hundreds of games if you always took college basketball home dogs you would win something like 50.5-51% of your plays, which isn't beating the juice. But a hell of a lot better than when I make my own plays.
*I actually did this at around 10:30 AM local time so missed the first batch of games. But looking at the box scores seems it actually benefited me.
I just checked and line is now 246.5. If nothing else you got a lot of closing line value.Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Took Clippers -1. Boston has had a good West Coast trip winning 2 straight, so logic is they relax a little and give one back.
Also, Hauser was given a spot start right before tip-off, and one of my books, that is normally quick to act on such things, was asleep at the wheel and didn't. So I got Hauser O6.5 points -115 for small bet.
Awful.
208 points with 9:52 left and it ends up 237. Wasn’t even a blowout.
Week 18 Incentives
QBs:
Aaron Rodgers 1 win = $500k
Sam Darnold 150 passing yards = $500k
Sam Darnold 3 TD passes = $500k
RBs:
Saquon Barkley 87 all purpose yards = $250k
Rico Dowdle 7 scrimmage yards = $1M
Rico Dowdle 1 TD = $250k
Nick Chubb 94 rush yards = $250k
Tony Pollard 66 rush yards = $250k
Tony Pollard 2 rush TDs = $250k
Ty Johnson 57 rec yards = $125k
Kareem Hunt 31 scrimmage yards = $25k
WRs:
Hollywood Brown 1 TD = $750k
Hollywood Brown 3 TDs = $1M
Hollywood Brown 102 rec yards = $125k
Keenan Allen 6 catches = $750k
Keenan Allen 9 rec yards = $250k
Keenan Allen 2 rec TDs = $250k
Stefon Diggs 30 rec yards = $500k
Stefon Diggs 8 catches = $500k
Stefon Diggs 130 rec yards = $500k
Deebo Samuel 93 rec yards = $450k
Deebo Samuel 10 catches = $200k
Deebo Samuel 2 TDs = $250k
Kendrick Bourne 8 catches = $500k
Kendrick Bourne 49 rec yards = $250k
Khalil Shakir 8 catches = $150k
Khalil Shakir 1 TD = $150k
Khalil Shakir 2 TDs = $300k
Jauan Jennings 9 catches = $666k
TEs:
Hunter Henry 5 catches = $250k
Dawson Knox 6 catches = $100k
Dawson Knox 7 rec yards = $100k
Dawson Knox 1 TD = $100k
Just be careful with the incentive plays.
Lot of these get paid out by the team, esp in the patriots players case where they may have nothing to play for and no Bye.
If you have an extra $100 in your account that you dont mind lighting on fire S Im should in no way shape or form be +12000 to win the masters. He should be half that at worse.
My local is +7000
Dk +12000
For s im
+7000 os still too high but its not right imho. +12000 for someone with his historical performance is value town. A +1200 top ten would get a lot of interest from me.
If you can get a +650ish Sandwich of Knox and Shakir first TD I think thats a fine bet.
Jets are a train wreck and Maye cut them to pieces. Bills Scoring first doesn't feel like its going to be an issue
I could live with a Bills -6 1H.
Wouldn't touch whole game
Other leans
Cinci -7.5
Jax 1h -7.5
Wash +4.5
Jax O47.5
Den U 19.5 1h
Rams U 47.5
Again - we bound to see a comedy show of strange things today. Dont go crazy.
Im planing to throw some low $$ high odds parlays at it and see if I am right en mass
Las Vegas +174 vs Kansas City
I think Vegas closes it out with their 3rd win.
This franchise is so lucky they get such road attendance or otherwise the stadium would be a ghost town all season.
Most of this looks good. Probably going to hit all of it except Cincy.
DD -where we at tonight? you owe me after last night's bs.
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