*** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

[The Boz]

Un fucking real. Basketball beat of the year candidate.

I had Timberwolves in a parlay other legs already hit and they are up 8 with one minute left and somehow lose in regulation. Multiple turnovers and missed FT's over the last minute. Sick, sick, sick.

And this is on top of having a bad week so far, where I really needed that one.

Horrible.

I have Rockets -2.5 and they are up 2 with 5 minutes left. Going to turn that game on now and watch this one probably lose too.

You are a good dude here, but come on, parlays, really?

Probably better off flying to ….. and offering to suck Sonatine off for cash. Guaranteed winner.

[Kalam]

Un fucking real. Basketball beat of the year candidate.

I had Timberwolves in a parlay other legs already hit and they are up 8 with one minute left and somehow lose in regulation. Multiple turnovers and missed FT's over the last minute. Sick, sick, sick.

And this is on top of having a bad week so far, where I really needed that one.

Horrible.

I have Rockets -2.5 and they are up 2 with 5 minutes left. Going to turn that game on now and watch this one probably lose too.

You are a good dude here, but come on, parlays, really?

Probably better off flying to ….. and offering to suck Sonatine off for cash. Guaranteed winner.

Nothing wrong with parlaying a couple ML's together, as long as it each leg is inside -300 (the bigger the spread, the more EV you give up if you do ML). Probably around the same EV as betting game lines -110.

A team being up 8 with one minute left and losing in regulation really is way under 1% chance happening. See something like that a couple times a year in the whole NBA season.

And Houston shits the bread down the stretch pretty much not scoring in the last 3 minutes and loses comfortably.

[Kalam]

What's funny is that I was trying to get o250.5 on Polymarket for +117, and I only got $47 in action and nobody else would touch it.

So I finally said fuck it and just fired on o249.5.... but by the time I got it done, the line had moved to -112 on the best book I had, and Poly was even worse at -117.

So I was annoyed but said whatever.

Now it's fortunate nobody wanted my 250.5 because that would've lost.

My book had 250.5. I almost took it out of principle, as sometime if you see a total or spread so ridiculous you feel obliged to take it. The most memorable ridiculous bet I made was one year when Fl St. football was very good the spread was like 70 or something against an FCS team, so I took them. And the bet was actually ultimately voided because there was a weather delay in the 3rd Q when Fl St. was up 50 or something, and they just called the game.

Glad I didn't take the 250.5 in this case obviously. Chicago forgetting how to shoot until garbage time and losing by the hook would have been very annoying. As annoying as all these other plays I am losing.

[The Boz]

You are a good dude here, but come on, parlays, really?

Probably better off flying to ….. and offering to suck Sonatine off for cash. Guaranteed winner.

Nothing wrong with parlaying a couple ML's together, as long as it each leg is inside -300 (the bigger the spread, the more EV you give up if you do ML). Probably around the same EV as betting game lines -110.

A team being up 8 with one minute left and losing in regulation really is way under 1% chance happening. See something like that a couple times a year in the whole NBA season.

And Houston shits the bread down the stretch pretty much not scoring in the last 3 minutes and loses comfortably.

Respectfully disagree unless you can show me you weren’t better off betting all of them individually laying the odds. It’s still a sucker bet unless you can show me betting the parlay is a better bet.

[Kalam]

Nothing wrong with parlaying a couple ML's together, as long as it each leg is inside -300 (the bigger the spread, the more EV you give up if you do ML). Probably around the same EV as betting game lines -110.

A team being up 8 with one minute left and losing in regulation really is way under 1% chance happening. See something like that a couple times a year in the whole NBA season.

And Houston shits the bread down the stretch pretty much not scoring in the last 3 minutes and loses comfortably.

Respectfully disagree unless you can show me you weren’t better off betting all of them individually laying the odds. It’s still a sucker bet unless you can show me betting the parlay is a better bet.

I didn't say it was better than betting individually. Maybe a little EV less, but not too bad as long as spreads aren't too big.

All bets are "sucker bets" unless you believe you have information the books dont. Flipping coins at -110 odds clearly isn't a wining strategy either.

[Dan Druff]

Well, Utah over easily covered.

Shame on me for doubting it. I said a few days ago that I was committing to fire them until they show they can play any defense. They coughed up 144 today.

Felt to ploppyish to bet it, but sometimes you just gotta go with it.

[rollinx420]

Daly--

u got any college foosball plays for today?

[simpdog]

Ranked men's college basketball teams are 85-0 vs. unranked teams this season.
That is the LONGEST win streak by ranked teams against unranked opponents at any point in a season in AP Poll history