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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #42341
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Only have one pick today.

    The Lakers have no Lebron, no Doncic, no Kleber, and now no Smart or Vincent.

    Austin Reaves is now the go-to guy.


    Minnesota has been having to do without Edwards, and they've split the first 4.

    Too many scrubs on the Lakers with all these injuries. I predict a blowout.


    Minnesota -7.5 -105 vs Lakers
    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Only have one pick today.

    The Lakers have no Lebron, no Doncic, no Kleber, and now no Smart or Vincent.

    Austin Reaves is now the go-to guy.


    Minnesota has been having to do without Edwards, and they've split the first 4.

    Too many scrubs on the Lakers with all these injuries. I predict a blowout.


    Minnesota -7.5 -105 vs Lakers
    I have a parlay that just needs Minn to win. Neither of us is looking too good right now. (Lakers up 13 with 3 minutes left in 3rd)

    I also have Rui O1.5 3's made. He made one 4 minutes into the game and then hasn't taken another one since. He hasn't been getting the ball much, and when he has he has been driving in. Lakers are up 10 so hard to argue it isn't working, but frustrating.
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Well I know why Minn is getting their ass kicked. Kalam has the same side as me.

    If someone told me that Reaves would be 6/18 in FG through 3, and Randle and McDaniels would have 48 points together, I'd say that this must be crushing.

    Instead, it's down 11.

    We never had a chance


    Single
    @
    -110
    Open
    Oct 29 • 2025 At 09:24:37 PM
    Ticket ID: 97759067
    Point Spread: MIN Timberwolves -7.5

  2. #42342
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    That you can’t bust the small stack in online poker until you have the best of it like seven times straight and Kalam=mush are my only 2 superstitions I totally believe

  3. #42343
    Plutonium Tellafriend's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Only have one pick today.

    The Lakers have no Lebron, no Doncic, no Kleber, and now no Smart or Vincent.

    Austin Reaves is now the go-to guy.


    Minnesota has been having to do without Edwards, and they've split the first 4.

    Too many scrubs on the Lakers with all these injuries. I predict a blowout.


    Minnesota -7.5 -105 vs Lakers
    I have a parlay that just needs Minn to win. Neither of us is looking too good right now. (Lakers up 13 with 3 minutes left in 3rd)

    I also have Rui O1.5 3's made. He made one 4 minutes into the game and then hasn't taken another one since. He hasn't been getting the ball much, and when he has he has been driving in. Lakers are up 10 so hard to argue it isn't working, but frustrating.
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Well I know why Minn is getting their ass kicked. Kalam has the same side as me.

    If someone told me that Reaves would be 6/18 in FG through 3, and Randle and McDaniels would have 48 points together, I'd say that this must be crushing.

    Instead, it's down 11.



    Timberwolves Alt Line-11½ +155

    Minnesota Timberwolves-7½ -108



    god damn it verm, i had them too following druff. had you timely shared no fucking way i'm getting my feet wet.

    you and i need a come to jesus; pardon the pejorative.

  4. #42344
    Plutonium Tellafriend's Avatar
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  5. #42345
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    LOL. After going pretty much the whole game without shooting any, Rui finally took a 3 point attempt. Unfortunately it was an end of shot clock attempt while he was literally sitting on his ass after falling down. It didn't go in.

    Edit: Right after he took a real one and it went in and out. Looks like I am going to have to just take the L on both my bets on this game.

    Sucks.

  6. #42346
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    I am obviously rooting for T-Wolves to win this game as that is where my $$ is. But as a Laker fan I would be remise to not notice that Austin Reaves "strategy" to dump the ball to Ayton to make something happen at the end of the shot clock isn't working very well. In the future I would suggest not passing it to the slow, clumsy 7'1" guy with 1 second on the shot clock.

    Edit: And Reaves with the game winner.

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  7. #42347
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    We needed OT, and while we got close to getting it, we didn't get it.

    Of course then we needed to win by 8 in OT, so honestly I stopped even watching.

    RIP the PFA Wagering Thread participants, as we all fell for this one.

    Verm'd out of existence

  8. #42348
    Diamond BCR's Avatar
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    The Heat have went to a new push the pace offense and even with Herro out, have scored 144, 146, 115, and 121. And three of those games are against Knicks, Orlando, and Memphis who are kind of good defensive teams normally with slower pace.

    The Spurs are 4-0 and averaging 121. They have played the leagues weakest competition so far. Their opponents are 3-17 combined and at the bottom of both conferences.

    I don’t like betting overs, but o229.5 -105 feels a bit low.

  9. #42349
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    The Heat have went to a new push the pace offense and even with Herro out, have scored 144, 146, 115, and 121. And three of those games are against Knicks, Orlando, and Memphis who are kind of good defensive teams normally with slower pace.

    The Spurs are 4-0 and averaging 121. They have played the leagues weakest competition so far. Their opponents are 3-17 combined and at the bottom of both conferences.

    I don’t like betting overs, but o229.5 -105 feels a bit low.

    I get all of this, and it makes sense.

    However, I am going the other way. Books are trying hard to get people to bet under. After it rose as high as 232, it's down to 228.5, without any major injury news I'm aware of. With how I've run recently, that might be a good thing for you. All you need is Kalam to bet with me, and it's a lock for your side.

    San Antonio vs Miami - Under 228.5 -107

  10. #42350
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by BCR View Post
    The Heat have went to a new push the pace offense and even with Herro out, have scored 144, 146, 115, and 121. And three of those games are against Knicks, Orlando, and Memphis who are kind of good defensive teams normally with slower pace.

    The Spurs are 4-0 and averaging 121. They have played the leagues weakest competition so far. Their opponents are 3-17 combined and at the bottom of both conferences.

    I don’t like betting overs, but o229.5 -105 feels a bit low.

    I get all of this, and it makes sense.

    However, I am going the other way. Books are trying hard to get people to bet under. After it rose as high as 232, it's down to 228.5, without any major injury news I'm aware of. With how I've run recently, that might be a good thing for you. All you need is Kalam to bet with me, and it's a lock for your side.

    San Antonio vs Miami - Under 228.5 -107
    There is no way I am going to bet any unders with how NBA scoring is going right now. If you bet unders, you are good.

    I actually have 2 props for this game:

    Bam O20.5 points
    Wemby O3.5 assists

  11. #42351
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    Hit both my props. Your under is looking very safe Druff. Condolences BCR.

  12. #42352
    Plutonium Sanlmar's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    Hit both my props. Your under is looking very safe Druff. Condolences BCR.
    Do you bet baseball?

     
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      1dollarboxcar: lulz

  13. #42353
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    Quote Originally Posted by Sanlmar View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Kalam View Post
    Hit both my props. Your under is looking very safe Druff. Condolences BCR.
    Do you bet baseball?
    EXTREMELY rarely. I actually made only one bet this season on a whim and won it. Ironically, it was a regular season game between Dodgers and Blue Jays and I bet Guerrero O1.5 bases and he had a monster game with a HR and a double.

    I actually tried to bet Snell's Total Outs prop yesterday (Some tout on X gave it out, and I decided it made sense) but I guess my book doesn't offer that prop, as I couldn't find it. Sucks, cause it would have won too.

  14. #42354
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I bet early season baseball when big NBA playoff games happen, so here's the reverse.

    Boston -116 at Philly
    Toronto +165 at Cleveland

  15. #42355
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Said to myself, "I don't want -1. I could easily see this game being close. I will take the -116 moneyline instead."

    Final score: Boston 109 Philly 108




    Boston had a 22-point lead and chunked it off, then threw away a late 11 point lead.

    Anyway good betting choice on my part.

    Toronto also blew a lead, now is down 2 with 6 min left. Go (basketball) Toronto!

  16. #42356
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    I bet early season baseball when big NBA playoff games happen, so here's the reverse.

    Boston -116 at Philly
    Toronto +165 at Cleveland
    Toronto wins by 11. EZ game. Ignore the fact that they were down 4 in the mid-4th, and were only up 1 in the final 2 minutes.

    I got +177 on it on Polymarket, too.

    4 in a row for me in the NBA


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