https://centerforpolitics.org/crysta...-2024-ratings/
Look, these guys say Harris will win. It must be true!
https://centerforpolitics.org/crysta...-2024-ratings/
Look, these guys say Harris will win. It must be true!
SOBCHAK SECURITY 213-799-7798
PRESIDENT JOSEPH R. BIDEN JR., THE GREAT AND POWERFUL
Originally Posted by Walter Sobchak
https://centerforpolitics.org/crysta...-2024-ratings/
Look, these guys say Harris will win. It must be true!
Frankly its the exact same thing i wrote a page ago.
The above update was from 10/17.Above were the opening Pinny odds on 9/12/2024 for each battleground state. Current Pinny odds below:
EC Winner: Trump -177, Harris +150
Arizona: Trump -260
Florida: Trump -1870
Georgia: Trump -243
Maine: OFF
Michigan TIE -110
Nevada: Harris -115
New Hampshire: Harris -700
North Carolina: Trump -208
PA: Trump -143
Texas: Trump -2225
Virginia: Harris -680
Wisconsin: Trump -123
Popular vote winner: (just added) Harris -252
11/4 Pinny update/comparison as of 6:30 PM CST:
EC Winner: Trump -162/Harris +141
Popular Vote: Trump +271/Harris -326
Arizona: Trump -339
Florida: Trump -2500
Georgia: Trump -211
Iowa: (just added) Trump -605
Michigan: Harris -205
Nevada: Trump -135
New Hampshire: Harris -534
North Carolina: Trump -226
Pennsylvania: Trump -131
Virginia: Harris -1206
Wisconsin: Harris -147
Some other markets just added:
Democrat total states won: 21.5 O -162
Republican total states won: 29.5 U -194
Trump wins BOTH MI and PA: +245
Trump wins BOTH MI and WI: +259
Harris scoops Rust Belt: (PA/MI/WI) +156
Trump scoops AZ/NV/NC/GA: +115
Trump scoops all 7 battlegrounds: +386
Harris OVER 51.999% popular vote: +150
Record turnout according to uselectionatlas.org: YES -172
County markets:
Bucks, PA: Harris -228
Clark, NV (Vegas) OFF
Erie, PA: Trump -142
Kent, MI: (Grand Rapids) Harris -230
Macomb, MI: (Detroit burbs) OFF
Maricopa, AZ: (Phoenix) Harris -121
Pinellas, FL: (Tampa Bay) Trump -331
Values as I see them at these prices:
MONSTER value: (3 units each)
Trump -605 in Iowa. (It opened yesterday something like -408 so best value already gone. That poll was complete quackery. I would bet it up to -900)
Trump -135 in Nevada. (Jon Ralston knows his shit and he's pretty much called it for Trump already)
Harris +184 in North Carolina (That asshat tranny-loving GOP guv candidate has a legit chance to cost him the entire state)
Solid value: (2 units each)
Trump popular vote +271
Trump +837 in Virginia
Trump to scoop NC/NV/AZ/GA: NO -139. (See above)
Record turnout YES -172
Thin value: (1 unit each)
Harris EC Winner +141
Trump +121 in Wisconsin
Trump +167 in Michigan
Harris scoops PA/WI/MI: YES +156
Trump wins all 7 battlegrounds: NO -501 (again this is mostly due to the NC situation)
Really not sure why the market has moved so heavily for Harris in Michigan in the last week. It was -110/-110 a few days ago.
Gonna be a VERY interesting day tomorrow.
Good luck to all who have wagered.
Largest holdings all green going in to election morning. Hopefully not a sea of red in the evening.
https://polymarket.com/profile/0x593...d94Cc24408FE84
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1853673781350260902
Couldn't be any closer, according to Nate.
I think if anybody says they know who's going to win the election, you can disregard their opinion.
im very excite
6 votes have officially been counted in the presidential race. Tied 3 to 3. How poetic.
https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1853666986489688198
Given you are in the green everywhere, are you tempted to bank the 3k plus since it's a flip? Just like the sweat and figure you can maneuver out at the right time?
The election might be a flip, but that doesn't mean my bets are. Most of my money is on the popular vote which I think is very unlikely to lose (but of course, still possible). And I still think is undervalued (though not as badly as before).Given you are in the green everywhere, are you tempted to bank the 3k plus since it's a flip? Just like the sweat and figure you can maneuver out at the right time?
Also, I like to gamble. Presidential elections are the most beautiful thing in the world to bet on.
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