Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
This is Nate Silver, he is not a pollster, but a probability forecaster his margins are merely a deduction from the mean from 100. Big difference methodology from a pollster:

#Latest @NateSilver538 Forecast: Chance of winning MICHIGAN Harris 60% (+20) Trump 40% . WISCONSIN Harris 58% (+15) Trump 43% . PENNSYLVANIA Trump 54% (+8) Harris 46% . NEVADA Trump 53% (+6) Harris 47% . NORTH CAROLINA Trump 62% (+24) Harris 38% . GEORGIA Trump 62% (+24) Harris 38% . ARIZONA Trump 72% (+44) Harris 28%
FTR, I do not agree with Nate, even though he is a genius. I agree with James Carville, the battlegrounds are going 7-0 in one direction or the other. This obsession with PA is just not plausible. The 7 states either all go to Trump or Harris.