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Thread: *** Official Flying Stupidity Wagering thread ***

  1. #40561
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Wow, Indy blew a late double digit lead, and not even in the way I wanted. Worst result: It's going to OT.

    This would be one of the worst losses of all times.
    Tatum misses that 3 and we scoop both sides.

    Lets hope for a close finish
    Yeah that was an awful late 4th meltdown. I kinda saw it coming. Should've bet the other way live.

  2. #40562
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    Wow, Indy blew a late double digit lead, and not even in the way I wanted. Worst result: It's going to OT.

    This would be one of the worst losses of all times.
    Tatum misses that 3 and we scoop both sides.

    Lets hope for a close finish

    We did it!!

  3. #40563
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    So Im simply going to say this.

    Texans opened -1 and the line jumped the fence near instantly and has hit 2.5 in some spots.

    The Jets are getting 25% of the money.

    I am in no way shape or form saying the Jets are a lock. If you bet Houston you simply hate $$. The Jets side is about as sharp as they come.

    Jets -2 or -130

  4. #40564
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I'm not betting the game, but big caution about Houston.

    Books been moving line to entice Houston bets despite most of the money coming in on them.

  5. #40565
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  6. #40566
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Utah vs San Antonio - Under 220 -110
    Clippers vs Phoenix - Under 221 -115

  7. #40567
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    So Im simply going to say this.

    Texans opened -1 and the line jumped the fence near instantly and has hit 2.5 in some spots.

    The Jets are getting 25% of the money.

    I am in no way shape or form saying the Jets are a lock. If you bet Houston you simply hate $$. The Jets side is about as sharp as they come.

    Jets -2 or -130
    Quote Originally Posted by Dan Druff View Post
    I'm not betting the game, but big caution about Houston.

    Books been moving line to entice Houston bets despite most of the money coming in on them.

    Pepperidge farm remembers!

  8. #40568
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    Game closed at +2.5 +100 for Houston.

    Red flags were super red.

    I had to talk people out of it. I had them texting me what a great bet this was, how we could fade Rodgers against a 6-2 team, AND get points. What a deal!!!

    I explained how you should never bet against major reverse line movement, which this was. Not that it moved tremendously, but such a lopsided betting pattern on Houston, it should have gone the other way.

    I just didn't have the balls to take Jets because... well.... that team sucks and Rodgers is still somehow overrated. So I sat it out, and instead went 1-1 on my NBA unders -- one easy win, one easy loss.

  9. #40569
    Owner Dan Druff's Avatar
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    I moved the big dick vs Tellafriend stuff here: https://pokerfraudalert.com/forum/sh...th-Tellafriend

  10. #40570
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    If you have some positive balances on the week and have multiple outs you may want to consider shopping around with the NCAA card tonight.

    I was able to catch a Fl Atlantic +3 -115 and a So Fla ML at -135

    Less of a “middle” but also got a U Conn -7 -105 and a Ge St +7.5 -110

    All it takes is one for a free $1K or so.

  11. #40571
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    Shooting of middles aside give me

    Boise -24
    Yale O51

  12. #40572
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Add columbia +2 - this one is in play move fast

    Probably good to -2.5

  13. #40573
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    If you have some positive balances on the week and have multiple outs you may want to consider shopping around with the NCAA card tonight.

    I was able to catch a Fl Atlantic +3 -115 and a So Fla ML at -135

    Less of a “middle” but also got a U Conn -7 -105 and a Ge St +7.5 -110

    All it takes is one for a free $1K or so.
    Georgia St
    +7˝
    (-110) $550.00/$500.00

    Connecticut
    -7
    (-105) $525.00/$500.00


  14. #40574
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Add columbia +2 - this one is in play move fast

    Probably good to -2.5

    Exactly to 2.5….. in fact


     
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  15. #40575
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Made these bets 10 min ago and the Minn -3 finally was moved to -2.5. Its counterintuitive but Id probably pass on it now.

    Ole miss -7.5
    AF +22.5
    Minn -3
    SC +3

    Miami U54.5
    Minn U 45.5
    Mich U 44.5
    K st O 45.5

    Going to roll this out for now. May have some more later.

    Looking ahead it will be a light slate tonight. Most plays will be 3:30 or prior.

  16. #40576
    Plutonium lol wow's Avatar
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    vanderbilt osu kiffin

  17. #40577
    Cubic Zirconia
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    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Made these bets 10 min ago and the Minn -3 finally was moved to -2.5. Its counterintuitive but Id probably pass on it now.

    Ole miss -7.5
    AF +22.5
    Minn -3
    SC +3

    Miami U54.5
    Minn U 45.5
    Mich U 44.5
    K st O 45.5

    Going to roll this out for now. May have some more later.

    Looking ahead it will be a light slate tonight. Most plays will be 3:30 or prior.
    Why did air force move to 18 right after your post?

  18. #40578
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Michael Jackson View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by Daly View Post
    Made these bets 10 min ago and the Minn -3 finally was moved to -2.5. Its counterintuitive but Id probably pass on it now.

    Ole miss -7.5
    AF +22.5
    Minn -3
    SC +3

    Miami U54.5
    Minn U 45.5
    Mich U 44.5
    K st O 45.5

    Going to roll this out for now. May have some more later.

    Looking ahead it will be a light slate tonight. Most plays will be 3:30 or prior.
    Why did air force move to 18 right after your post?

    My guess is a bag man showed up with instructions to keep betting AF until it hit 17…… and the books followed.

  19. #40579
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Same mini middle is showing up for Indiana -6.5 -115 and Sparty +7.5 -110.

    Great way of showing the book “big square action” relatively risk free and gives a decent percentage of scooping

    Bookmaker has it at -7.5 as the proper line so if you have any guts the play is to take Indiana -6.5 if you dont feel like playing games

  20. #40580
    Master of Props Daly's Avatar
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    Locked in Hou +13 before it starts to get away

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