Official Presidential Polling and Odds thread

[BetCheckBet]

This is NOT going to play well in the Rust Belt

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/Acyn/status/1852543627534414086

That didn’t take long

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https://twitter.com/champnella/status/1852557542083166322

[tgull]

I said this before, I traveled the entire state in WI a month ago. All the way to the Upper Peninsula of MI and as far south as the border of Illinois. Where I was, it was MAGA. Every now and then you would see a Harris sign but the Trump signs were overwhelming. I did not spent any time in downtown Milwaukee, but I can assure you every rural county is Trump by a huge margin. Whenever I travel a state I am not familiar with I always search out Mom and Pops for lunch and dinner, just my thing. Yes anecdotal but the places had banners inside for Trump and they were packed. Obviously no Harris voter would go in given their TDS. Anecdotal yes, but I have to believe WI is going to be called early for Trump. I already maxed out $9,500 on Trump and not betting anymore. But if I had thought about it, I would have put half of it on WI for Trump.

YOU KNOW JACK SHIT ABOUT WISCONSIN. TRUMP LOST THE LAST ELECTION BY 30K VOTES. MILWAUKEE AND MADISON MAKE UP A MAJORITY OF THE ELECTOR. IF YOU GIVE TRUMP THREE OF THE MOST POPULATED REPUBLICAN COUNTIES CALLED THE W.O.W COUNTIES. WAUKESHA, OZAUKEE, AND WASHINGTON. HE STILL LOSES. WAUKESHA COUNTY OVER THE PAST 12 YEARS HAS BEEN VOTING MORE AND MORE DEMOCRAT. THEIR REPUBLICAN MAYOR ENDORSED HARRIS A COUPLE OF WEEKS AGO. NO SHOT HE WINS WISCONSIN.

Because you went all caps, you must be right.

[tgull]

As I stated yesterday, the last poll I will post is the NYT/Siena poll. There are "polls" flooding the market now that don't even exist so it really is pointless. I am going to post raw data and the Mark Halperin videos, but the polls now are fake and toxic on both sides. They don't really mean anything since its so close to the final vote.

[tgull]

[BetCheckBet]

This is NOT going to play well in the Rust Belt

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/Acyn/status/1852543627534414086

Serious question can anyone explain what he is actually trying to do? Or was an 80 year old man seriously acting out a blow job? full clip for reference

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/AutismCapital/status/1852545028687880626

[RichardBrodiesCombover.]

Electoral Map Based on Final Trafalgar/Insider Advantage polling Trump 306 Harris 232

I said this before, I traveled the entire state in WI a month ago. All the way to the Upper Peninsula of MI and as far south as the border of Illinois. Where I was, it was MAGA. Every now and then you would see a Harris sign but the Trump signs were overwhelming. I did not spent any time in downtown Milwaukee, but I can assure you every rural county is Trump by a huge margin. Whenever I travel a state I am not familiar with I always search out Mom and Pops for lunch and dinner, just my thing. Yes anecdotal but the places had banners inside for Trump and they were packed. Obviously no Harris voter would go in given their TDS. Anecdotal yes, but I have to believe WI is going to be called early for Trump. I already maxed out $9,500 on Trump and not betting anymore. But if I had thought about it, I would have put half of it on WI for Trump.

YOU KNOW JACK SHIT ABOUT WISCONSIN. TRUMP LOST THE LAST ELECTION BY 30K VOTES. MILWAUKEE AND MADISON MAKE UP A MAJORITY OF THE ELECTOR. IF YOU GIVE TRUMP THREE OF THE MOST POPULATED REPUBLICAN COUNTIES CALLED THE W.O.W COUNTIES. WAUKESHA, OZAUKEE, AND WASHINGTON. HE STILL LOSES. WAUKESHA COUNTY OVER THE PAST 12 YEARS HAS BEEN VOTING MORE AND MORE DEMOCRAT. THEIR REPUBLICAN MAYOR ENDORSED HARRIS A COUPLE OF WEEKS AGO. NO SHOT HE WINS WISCONSIN.

This is NOT going to play well in the Rust Belt

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/Acyn/status/1852543627534414086

Serious question can anyone explain what he is actually trying to do? Or was an 80 year old man seriously acting out a blow job? full clip for reference

Embedded Tweet

https://twitter.com/AutismCapital/status/1852545028687880626

It's part of his dementia. Dementia leads to disinhibition. Its only going to get worse in the coming days as the stress and pressure continue to degrade Trump's ability to be coherent. Have we forgot how being president rapidly ages the individual. Trump maybe under 80 but his mind is closer to someone in their 90s.

[PLOL]

Domer's stacking up "R prez, R senate, D house" balance of power. I bought this earlier at 14.5cents. You can get it now for 12 cents. If Trump wins, senate is a lock. If Trump wins but loses pop vote, D house is somewhat likely. With forecasts converging to this being a very close race, I like this bet at 12 cents.

https://polymarket.com/event/balance...=1730567326645

[PLOL]

Domer's stacking up "R prez, R senate, D house" balance of power. I bought this earlier at 14.5cents. You can get it now for 12 cents. If Trump wins, senate is a lock. If Trump wins but loses pop vote, D house is somewhat likely. With forecasts converging to this being a very close race, I like this bet at 12 cents.

https://polymarket.com/event/balance...=1730567326645

This whole market is a cheaper way to buy Trump if you're looking to do that. All the R prez scenarios only add up to ~53 cents rn, despite Trump being 59 cents to win.