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Thread: Official Presidential Polling and Odds thread

  1. #801
    Plutonium big dick's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by tgull View Post
    Quote Originally Posted by big dick View Post
    Any idea how many true actual conservate r's are gonna vote for Harris?
    No, I do not know how people voted in a confidential vote. Go back to night wrestling dudes at the gym.

    I do

    15-20 % are voting for VP Harris

    im way smarter than you

    bring back that white trashcan rot gut drinker tyde

  2. #802
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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      The Boz: Lungs is far from a Trump fan.

  3. #803
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    Fucking frank luntz


    you better bring better than that pal if you decide to step up against me again

    fkin frank luntz

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    Wouldn’t that mostly be attributable to Covid fear and the goofy election rules last time

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    Name:  A7AEBD23-7D39-40A4-B56F-56E194D65DBF.png
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    These were the 2016 voting demographics.


    ChatGPT:

    While precise percentages for male vs. female early and Election Day voting can vary by election cycle, some recent data offers a general estimate. In the 2020 U.S. election, for example:

    1. **Early Voting**:
    - Women made up **about 54-55%** of early and mail-in voters.
    - Men comprised approximately **45-46%** of early and mail-in voters.

    2. **Election Day Voting**:
    - Men made up a slightly larger share of in-person Election Day voters, comprising roughly **52-53%**.
    - Women accounted for approximately **47-48%** of Election Day voters.

    These percentages show that while women are more likely to vote early, men make up a greater share of those voting on Election Day. This pattern can vary slightly by state and election type (e.g., midterms vs. presidential), but these figures provide a general trend seen in recent high-turnout elections.

    Name:  ACBBC0DA-CB78-4C79-85F5-B9664B465B41.png
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    2020.


    What does this mean? That unless you believe Kamala is doing better with white women than Biden and Hilldawg, then spinning the battleground turn out so far by gender as some kind of positive for her is literally retarded. It's actually the opposite, and then remember all the indicators of Trump performing significantly better this time among blacks and Hispanics. Factor those increases into both sides of the gender equation. The betting markets have fell for these gender gaps and the usual suspect state polling released over the last two days.

    The amount of propaganda being released is at an all time high. Trump has never in any of the previous elections had anywhere close to as clear of a lead than he does now.

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  8. #808
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    Signs couldn't be stronger for Trump in PA: #NEW FINAL PENNSYLVANIA poll 🔴 Trump: 49% (=) 🔵 Harris: 49% Last poll: Harris+3 Bellwethers: 🔴 Northampton: Trump+2 (last poll: Harris+5) 🟡 Erie: Tie (last poll: Harris+4) Suffolk/USA Today | 10/27-30 | N=500LV

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    Looks like Trump's PA lead had slipped in the betting markets in PA. Something about early voting.



  10. #810
    Hurricane Expert tgull's Avatar
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    Marist’s final rust belt polls, 2020 vs 2024: 2020: MI: 🟦 biden+8 | PA: 🟦 biden+5 | WI: 🟦 biden+10 --- 2024: MI: 🟦 harris+3 | PA: 🟦 harris+2 | WI: 🟦 harris+2

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