Last update: 1:45 p.m., Wednesday, September 18. Another very good day of polling for Kamala Harris, especially in a trio of polls of Blue Wall states by Quinnipiac, including one that had her up by 5 or 6 points in Pennsylvania (depending on whether you use the version with or without minor candidates). One caution is that Quinnipiac polls have been Democratic-leaning in recent years. With that said, they retain a good pollster rating. And this follows on some strong national polls for Harris since the debate.
The race is really a tossup: The model gives Harris a 49 percent chance of winning Pennsylvania, a 54 percent chance in Wisconsin, and a 56 percent chance in Michigan. Nevada is also 50/50. She’s had some disappointing polling recently in Georgia and Arizona, however.
Originally Posted by vpbob
Not any more. As of today, Trump is down to 52%. Essentially a toss up.
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