Originally Posted by Dan Druff
Sorry didn't see this. Was at a local.
Markets already adjusted bigly, but its been a wild ride this week.
Sorry didn't see this. Was at a local.
Markets already adjusted bigly, but its been a wild ride this week.
honestly 3.5 to 1 doesnt even seem bad you assume like a bunch of older trump supporters die before november who knows what state theyre in plus vote fraud seems like kinda good
Sleepy Joe out to over 20-1 (less than 5%) on betfair which seems insane for the supposed Democrat nominee. Trump about 4-6 (60%), Kamala 7-2 (22%), Michelle 25-1 (4%), Gretchen 33-1 (3%) and Newsom 40-1 (2.5%) and the rest 100-1 or greater.
Clinton went to 13% to be the nominee on PredictIt today because Alex Jones started a rumor. I love making money fading the dumbest conspiracy theories imaginable (Clinton + Michelle)
May 30th
Gotta wait til convention is over to get paid unfortunately
fucking salamar jerome jr getting american money all he know
Looking for action on Kamala vs trump
US Presidential Election 2024 Winner
Donald Trump Sr.-180
Kamala Harris+150
I have been accumulating shares of Kamala to win the election, as well as various other markets like Kamala to win the popular vote. While the price has increased quite a bit lately, they're still undervalued. Bet accordingly.
There's also some pretty strong arbitrage opportunities across the various prediction market sites. I would look in to these in the strongest possible terms.
Happy Labor Day!
- plop
You got a lot to make up on the EC. Not sure how you can get there with these polls from today, that is nowhere near she needs to be to offset the CA and NY bias.
National: Trump vs. Harris Yahoo News
Harris 47, Trump 46
Harris +1
Arizona: Trump vs. Harris Noble Predictive Insights
Trump 47, Harris 44
Trump +3
They’re gonna steal it, dummy
Gotta respect the millenial god of political wagering.
1. We are at a point in the ol’ democracy game where policy takes a back seat to vibes and being mindful. Policy doesn’t matter. “Feels” matters. No interviews. No debate is really desired by either side. Nobody has a policy.
2. Money matters. We know this. The particular democratic candidate was less important than retaining or capturing Biden’s campaign funds, They can work around Kamala. The dems have a superior war chest and the money is still pouring in. The magic made possible by big money has been at work. You can’t explain the success but you can’t deny the results.
It’s exciting & new. Come aboard or drown. Polls are backward looking and inexact. Look at the trend
That twink Nate just talked about pollsters being told in ‘16, “Fuck you, I’m voting for Trump” then the caller would hang up. The kid intern would disregard the call. Turns out those calls were meaning numbers. Oops. Live and learn in the ol’ polling game.
btw etherium and Crypto.com have made me feel like a filthy whore
lol... (Welcome Back)
Very Smart America is Largely a Moderately Liberal Nation, Big Cities will always Vote BLUE
Trump needs Flyover States and Swing States to win, Harris wins every Big City in the Nation obviously
glgl
You told us something 100% of the country already knows. Wow, hey Detroit is going to vote Democrat, who would have thought?lol... (Welcome Back)
Very Smart America is Largely a Moderately Liberal Nation, Big Cities will always Vote BLUE
Trump needs Flyover States and Swing States to win, Harris wins every Big City in the Nation obviously
glgl
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