Quote:
Originally Posted by
VaughnP
Just pointing out something again for the slower folks - if Trump wins AZ, NC, and GA, he only needs one of MI, PA, or WI. Based on the current Polymarket odds, his chance of picking at least one of those is around 88%. Again, this ignores a very real scenario of Trump winning NV and NH, among others, and is based on percentages that underestimate his chances in each blue wall state.
What you said above is very much correct and has been said by some of our resident experts.
Its looking less and less likely Michigan is going to work out for DJT.
A Nevada & NH combo electorally checks out but Harris is -550 in NH at the moment.
That leaves Wisconsin, where she is currently -135 to win. Not insurmountable but the numbers are the numbers.
And finally….. the state most of us have been saying it all comes down too….
DJT is -150 as of this moment