Time to get on the TRUMP train

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11-08-2016, 08:19 PM
ChipCounter

Dayum..Im about to make a fuckton of money.
11-08-2016, 08:19 PM
Zap_the_Fractions_Giraffe

1 Attachment(s)

anything I said about soldering my dickhole shut if Trump wins has been officially taken back as of 10:19 pm est time 11/8/2016
11-08-2016, 08:19 PM
Dan Druff

Quote:

Originally Posted by blake

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dan Druff

Regardless of who wins tonight, Nate Silver has been asleep at the switch this entire election cycle.

People regarded him as some sort of stat god because he got lucky 4 years ago.

But he was one of the last to concede that Trump would win the nomination, and his modeling for this race was woefully inaccurate and/or behind the curve.

The fact that he still had Florida in Clinton's corner when it was a sure Trump victory speaks volumes.

in his defense, he gave trump a much bigger shot of winning the race than anyone else.

this article was from three days ago, where he was defending himself from another pollster who said nate was artificially giving trump too much credit

http://www.mediaite.com/online/nate-...itical-column/

nate went nuts on a tweetstorm

Yes but I think he was right in the "even a broken clock is right twice a day" sort of way.

He misfired on a lot, but also left himself an out in that he left a much wider path for what could happen in this election than most.

It's not like he saw it coming that Trump would be competitive in MI and WI. Not saying that anyone did, but everything I saw from Silver (aside from giving Trump more of a shot than others) seemed out of touch, and much didn't come to pass as he predicted.
11-08-2016, 08:20 PM
BiffCo99

Quote:

Originally Posted by sonatine

Lets take a second to give a shout out to the FBI, without whom none of this would be possible.

SHUT IT DOWN SONATINE
11-08-2016, 08:20 PM
NaturalBornHustler

Nate SilverVerified account
‏@NateSilver538
Guys, the odds you see on 538 right now are based only on CALLED STATES. Clinton's odds will crash when/if Florida is called against her.

Trump up 135k in Florida with 99% in.
11-08-2016, 08:20 PM
sonatine

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mintjewlips

Jesus christ sonatine, give it a fucking rest bruh.

Im confused; did you not believe him when he said that was his go-to plan?
11-08-2016, 08:20 PM
Dan Druff

Quote:

Originally Posted by Zap_the_Fractions_Giraffe

anything I said about soldering my dickhole shut if Trump wins has been officially taken back as of 10:19 pm est time 11/8/2016

Shrkeli and Trump do have something in common, in that they are great media trolls, though Shrkeli is better at it.

The problem with Trump is that he's good at trolling but then tilts hard when he gets trolled back. Shrkeli enjoys getting trolled back.
11-08-2016, 08:20 PM
blake

msnbc calling ohio for trump
11-08-2016, 08:21 PM
BiffCo99

Quote:

Originally Posted by sonatine

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mintjewlips

Jesus christ sonatine, give it a fucking rest bruh.

Im confused; did you not believe him when he said that was his go-to plan?

SHUT IT DOWN
11-08-2016, 08:21 PM
NaturalBornHustler

Rove lowkey wants Trump to lose. Coming up with every scenario in the book for an easy Clinton win still.
11-08-2016, 08:21 PM
Lord of the Fraud

Donald is one to fucking six and John King is still in total denial.
11-08-2016, 08:22 PM
Dan Druff

Quote:

Originally Posted by blake

msnbc calling ohio for trump

I don't know what that didn't happen sooner. It's an 11 point blowout.

Embarrassing for Hillary given that Obama carried that state both times.
11-08-2016, 08:22 PM
Erin Micunt

So what material is this wall going to be made out of so I can start investing.
11-08-2016, 08:22 PM
Mintjewlips

Quote:

Originally Posted by sonatine

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mintjewlips

Jesus christ sonatine, give it a fucking rest bruh.

Im confused; did you not believe him when he said that was his go-to plan?

Just nap it out bud, it's going to get ugly......especially for you!!!

:lol2

He just took ohio BIATCH!!!
11-08-2016, 08:22 PM
NaturalBornHustler

81%
11-08-2016, 08:22 PM
Zap_the_Fractions_Giraffe

1 Attachment(s)
11-08-2016, 08:22 PM
GrenadaRoger

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dan Druff

Regardless of who wins tonight, Nate Silver has been asleep at the switch this entire election cycle.

People regarded him as some sort of stat god because he got lucky 4 years ago.

But he was one of the last to concede that Trump would win the nomination, and his modeling for this race was woefully inaccurate and/or behind the curve.

The fact that he still had Florida in Clinton's corner when it was a sure Trump victory speaks volumes.

check his live update probability page...a few minutes ago it had Trump at 52% to win Fla @ 7:20pst

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/...forecast-2016/

also, Ohio 78% Trump; North Carolina 55% Trump; Michgan 50/50

but so far all called races have gone the way Silver predicted, no breakthrough, although Fla NC likely, Mich maybe
11-08-2016, 08:22 PM
dwai

ROFL @ THIS FAT IDIOT SONATINE. OMG I'M CRYING
11-08-2016, 08:23 PM
Dan Druff

Now that Hillary is going to lose, we should play a game as to which person contributing to it is going to have an "accident" or a "heart attack".
11-08-2016, 08:24 PM
Dan Druff

December 3, 2016:

James Comey found at home, dead of apparent heart attack.